Numbers, Facts and Trends Shaping Your World

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    4. It’s all just history repeating itself

    A number of these experts said that when people try to predict the future it can be helpful to look at the past and assess today’s trends. They drew parallels from the present moment to past eras and extrapolated based on current trends. This section includes comments about how the past can inform the future. […]

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    Appendix B: Data sources by country

    General sources and archives Demographic and Health Surveys. Funded by the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID). Implemented by ICF. http://www.dhsprogram.com/. European Social Survey. Led by the Centre for Comparative Social Surveys. City University, (London) in partnership with the Catholic University of Leuven (Belgium), GESIS (Germany), NSD (Norway), and SCP and the University of Amsterdam […]

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    5. Tech causes more problems than it solves

    A number of respondents to this canvassing about the likely future of social and civic innovation shared concerns. Some said that technology causes more problems than it solves. Some said it is likely that emerging worries over the impact of digital life will be at least somewhat mitigated as humans adapt. Some said it is […]

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    1. Themes about the digital disruption of democracy in the next decade

    The pessimists about democracy in this canvassing make several arguments and foresee several outcomes. A share believe that there will be not be adequate reform in the design and management of technology platforms; that government will not respond in the best interests of citizens; that the speed, scope and impact of digital tools all work […]

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    1. Worries about developments in AI

    It would be quite difficult – some might say impossible – to design broadly adopted ethical AI systems. A share of the experts responding noted that ethics are hard to define, implement and enforce. They said context matters when it comes to ethical considerations. Any attempt to fashion ethical rules generates countless varying scenarios in […]

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    About this canvassing of experts

    The expert predictions reported here about the impact of the internet over the next 50 years came in response to questions asked by Pew Research Center and Elon University’s Imagining the Internet Center in an online canvassing conducted between July 4, 2018, and Aug. 6, 2018. This is the 10th Future of the Internet study […]