MethodsJanuary 7, 2016

Can Likely Voter Models Be Improved?

High-profile polling failures in recent elections have drawn attention to the challenges in using surveys to predict outcomes. Our study examines various methods of determining who is a likely voter.

U.S. PoliticsOctober 2, 2015

Contrasting Partisan Perspectives on Campaign 2016

Republicans now want new ideas and a different approach in a presidential candidate rather than experience and a proven record, while Democrats are more divided on which qualities they prefer.

U.S. PoliticsMarch 30, 2014

Democrats Face Challenges in This Year’s Midterm Elections

While Democrats are more popular than the GOP among the general public, the party faces a number of challenges in November, writes Andrew Kohut in the Wall Street Journal.

HispanicJune 3, 2013

Inside the 2012 Latino Electorate

The 2012 Latino electorate consisted of a record 11.2 million voters, but Latinos’ voter turnout rate continues to trail behind the rate of blacks and whites.

ReligionDecember 7, 2012

White Evangelical Voters Supported Romney

White evangelical Protestants voted as heavily for Republican candidate Mitt Romney as they did for the GOP candidates in 2008 and 2004, and they made up about the same share of the electorate as they did in the two previous elections.

U.S. PoliticsNovember 26, 2012

Young Voters Supported Obama Less, But May Have Mattered More

Barack Obama won 60% of the vote among those younger than 30, down from 66% in 2008, but his youth support may have been an even more important factor in his victory this year.

ReligionNovember 7, 2012

How the Faithful Voted: 2012 Preliminary Analysis

Obama’s margin of victory was much smaller than in 2008 and he lost ground among white evangelical Protestants and white Catholics. But the basic religious contours of the 2012 electorate resemble recent elections.

Pew Research CenterNovember 7, 2012

Pew Research Center’s Exit Poll Analysis on the 2012 Election

Pew Research Center analyzes the electorate, voter turnout and the issues that affected President Obama’s reelection win in 2012.