Can Likely Voter Models Be Improved?
High-profile polling failures in recent elections have drawn attention to the challenges in using surveys to predict outcomes. Our study examines various methods of determining who is a likely voter.
Contrasting Partisan Perspectives on Campaign 2016
Republicans now want new ideas and a different approach in a presidential candidate rather than experience and a proven record, while Democrats are more divided on which qualities they prefer.
Democrats Face Challenges in This Year’s Midterm Elections
While Democrats are more popular than the GOP among the general public, the party faces a number of challenges in November, writes Andrew Kohut in the Wall Street Journal.