Arnold Lau

National polls like the Center’s come within a few percentage points, on average, of benchmarks from high response rate federal surveys.

About two-thirds of Americans (65%) say their best guess is that intelligent life exists on other planets.

A new evaluation of the Center's national American Trends Panel finds little evidence that panel estimates are affected by errors associated with panel conditioning, a phenomenon that occurs when survey participation changes respondents’ true or reported behavior over time.

Looking at final estimates of the outcome of the 2020 U.S. presidential race, 93% of national polls overstated the Democratic candidate’s support among voters, while nearly as many (88%) did so in 2016.

Given the errors in 2016 and 2020 election polling, how much should we trust polls that attempt to measure opinions on issues?

In this post, we examine whether online opt-in or “nonprobability” surveys are consistent in the same ways as probability-based surveys.

This post walks through the process of weighting and analyzing a survey dataset.

This post provides tips on recoding and collapsing survey data and displaying weighted estimates of categorical variables.

While the growth of online interviewing is a prominent trend in polling, there is variation within that trend in how researchers recruit respondents. This study finds that sourcing affects data quality.

How many U.S. adults use the internet? There are a lot of sources with answers to this question. Yet these different sources can be tricky to reconcile.