Polls on COVID-19 vaccination closely align with CDC data
Public polling estimates on COVID-19 vaccination have been within about 2.8 points, on average, of the CDC’s calculated rate.
Methods
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How Pew Research Center has dealt with the challenges of international polling during the pandemic
Since the initial disruptions of field operations due to COVID-19, we have been able to conduct 33 surveys in 17 countries and territories.
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How Call-In Options Affect Address-Based Web Surveys
One method to improve survey representation of the non-internet and less literate population is to allow people to take surveys offline. In March, we fielded a study to test the feasibility and effect of collecting data through respondent-initiated interactive voice response; here’s what we found.
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Q&A: A conversation about U.S. election polling problems in 2020
Here, we discuss the findings of a comprehensive report about the polling errors of 2020 and their implications for polling.
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Behind Biden’s 2020 Victory
A new analysis of 2020 validated voters examines change and continuity in the electorate, both of which contributed to Joe Biden’s victory. It looks at how new voters and voters who turned out in either 2016, 2018 or both voted in the 2020 presidential election, and offers a detailed portrait of the demographic composition of the 2020 electorate.
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Most Americans believe in intelligent life beyond Earth; few see UFOs as a major national security threat
About two-thirds of Americans (65%) say their best guess is that intelligent life exists on other planets.
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Measuring the Risks of Panel Conditioning in Survey Research
A new evaluation of the Center’s national American Trends Panel finds little evidence that panel estimates are affected by errors associated with panel conditioning, a phenomenon that occurs when survey participation changes respondents’ true or reported behavior over time.
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Death penalty draws more Americans’ support online than in telephone surveys
The difference in support for the death penalty by survey mode has important consequences for understanding trends on the issue.
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Confronting 2016 and 2020 Polling Limitations
Looking at final estimates of the outcome of the 2020 U.S. presidential race, 93% of national polls overstated the Democratic candidate’s support among voters, while nearly as many (88%) did so in 2016.
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Q&A: After misses in 2016 and 2020, does polling need to be fixed again? What our survey experts say
Polling organizations have taken close looks at how election surveys are designed, administered and analyzed. We are no exception.
