U.S. PoliticsJanuary 24, 2008

Election-Year Economic Ratings Lowest Since ’92

Republicans and Democrats agree the economy should be a top priority for the president and Congress, but they differ more than ever on the importance of other domestic issues — such as global warming and health insurance for the uninsured.

ReligionJanuary 24, 2008

Will Evangelical Voters Rally Around a Single Candidate in 2008?

As voting patterns and preferences among evangelicals have become more fluid, their electoral impact may extend beyond the primaries and affect both parties in November. Two experts from the Pew Forum on Religion & Public Life discuss this critical voting bloc.

U.S. PoliticsJanuary 18, 2008

Mind the Gender Gap

Does Hilary Clinton have a problem with male voters or does Barack Obama simply appeal more to men?

U.S. PoliticsJanuary 16, 2008

In GOP Primaries: Three Victors, Three Constituencies

The Republican nomination contest is being increasingly shaped by ideology and religion, while the dynamics of the Democratic race are more heavily influenced by class, race and gender.

U.S. PoliticsJanuary 11, 2008

The GOP’s Unanswered Question

Thursday night’s Republican debate in South Carolina in the wake of John McCain’s comeback victory in New Hampshire and Mike Huckabee’s surprising win in Iowa raised more questions than it answered.

Media & NewsJanuary 10, 2008

New Hampshire Teaches News Media a Lesson

It wasn’t quite “Dewey Defeats Truman,” but after the Jan. 8 Granite State primary confounded many pollsters and pundits, a key story in coverage of the McCain and Clinton victories was the media’s proclivity to predict and pre-analyze the results.

U.S. PoliticsJanuary 10, 2008

Getting It Wrong

Several factors deserve exploration, but one should not ignore the possibility of the longstanding pattern of pre-election polls overstating support for black candidates among white voters, particularly white voters who are poor.

U.S. PoliticsDecember 14, 2007

Primary Problems: How Exit Pollsters Plan to Cope with a Super-Crowded Election Season

From holiday distractions to winter weather, the people who will be measuring voters’ preferences in primaries and caucuses around the nation will be dealing with unprecedented problems. Here’s how they plan to do it.

HispanicDecember 6, 2007

Hispanics and the 2008 Election: A Swing Vote?

Earlier Republican Party gains among Latinos have dissipated in the past year, a new Pew Hispanic Center survey finds. Hispanics also comprise a sizable share of voters in four “swing states” that President Bush narrowly carried in 2004.

U.S. PoliticsDecember 4, 2007

GOP Race Unsettled in Politically Diverse Early States

Likely Republican voters in the three politically disparate early primary states express less enthusiasm about their field of presidential candidates, and many voice only modest support for their choices.