July 5, 2017

On world affairs, most G20 countries more confident in Merkel than Trump

U.S. President Donald Trump and German Chancellor Angela Merkel hold a joint press conference in the East Room of the White House on March 17, 2017. (Saul Loeb/AFP/Getty Images)
U.S. President Donald Trump and German Chancellor Angela Merkel hold a joint press conference in the East Room of the White House on March 17, 2017. (Saul Loeb/AFP/Getty Images)

As leaders from 20 of the world’s largest economies prepare to meet in Germany this week for the Group of Twenty (G2o) summit, residents in most member countries have more confidence in the summit’s host – German Chancellor Angela Merkel – than in U.S. President Donald Trump to do the right thing in world affairs, according to a new Pew Research Center survey.

Across the majority of the G20 nations, people prefer Merkel to Trump on world affairs, according to the survey, which examines attitudes in 37 nations, including in 17 of the 19 members of the G20 (the organization also includes a representative of the European Union). In only two of the G20 countries surveyed – India and Russia – do residents have substantially more confidence in Trump than in Merkel when it comes to world affairs.

In seven G20 countries – Germany, France, South Korea, the United Kingdom, Canada, Japan and Australia – two-thirds or more of the public say they have confidence in Merkel, compared with roughly three-in-ten or fewer who have confidence in Trump. And while around four-in-ten or fewer have confidence in Merkel in Italy, Brazil and Mexico, support for her is still greater than it is for Trump in these G20 member nations. (The survey, which was fielded in February and March, was not conducted in the other two G20 countries, China and Saudi Arabia, or in all EU member nations.)

In the United States, more people have confidence in Merkel than in their own leader (56% to 46%). However, there is a sharp partisan divide in the U.S. on this question. Democrats trust Merkel (64% confidence) more than Trump (16%). Republicans, on the other hand, have much more faith in Trump (89%) than the German leader (50%).

There are only a few G20 countries where Merkel does not have this confidence advantage. Residents of Turkey have comparatively little confidence in either leader. More in India have confidence in Trump than in Merkel (although 63% do not have an opinion of the German leader). Meanwhile, in Russia, 53% have confidence in Trump, compared with 31% who have confidence in Merkel. Russia was one of only two countries in the Center’s new survey – the other being Israel – where opinions of Trump were higher than they were for Barack Obama at the end of this presidency.

When it comes to two of the key issues that will be discussed at the G20 summit – trade and climate change – most people in G20 member countries take a dim view of Trump’s policy proposals.

For example, on Trump’s intention to pull out of international trade agreements, such as the Trans-Pacific Partnership, there is broad disapproval across the 17 G20 countries included in the survey. In the U.S., only 38% approve of such policies, though Republicans are far more likely to approve (66%) than Democrats (17%).

In France, Germany, South Korea and Mexico, eight-in-ten or more disapprove of pulling out of these trade agreements. Roughly half of Russians (49%) disapprove, compared with 28% who approve.

Climate change, and specifically the Paris climate accord, will also be on the agenda during the G20 summit. And although the Center’s survey was fielded before Trump’s announcement that the U.S. would leave the accord, most people in G20 member countries say they disapprove of his stated plan to do so.

The strongest disapproval is in Germany, where 93% disapprove of the plan to leave the climate accord. But there is also strong disapproval across Western Europe, East Asia and Latin America. In the U.S., 67% disapprove of Trump’s plan to leave the climate change agreement, though again, Democrats express more disapproval on this policy (88% disapprove) than Republicans (34%).

In India, the country with the fourth-largest carbon dioxide emissions behind China, the U.S. and the EU, 32% approve of Trump’s pulling out of climate accords, but 25% disapprove and most (43%) do not have an opinion.

Note: See  for topline results of our survey and methodology.

Topics: Europe, U.S. Global Image and Anti-Americanism, International Organizations, Non-U.S. Political Leaders, Foreign Affairs and Policy, Political Issue Priorities, Donald Trump

  1. Photo of Jacob Poushter

    is a senior researcher focusing on global attitudes at Pew Research Center.

16 Comments

  1. Anonymous1 month ago

    What is the % favorable to Trump and to Merkel in Israel?

  2. Anonymous1 month ago

    Both Democrats and Republicans have lost faith in Trump. Its time for a 3rd Party that looks after the people and not special interests!!!

  3. Anonymous1 month ago

    Congrats Germany. Now you write the Checks!

  4. Anonymous1 month ago

    In the United States, more people have confidence in Merkel than in their own leader (56% to 46%).
    ………………………………………….

    That adds up to 102%.

    Pew indeed!

    1. Jason Mcgruder1 month ago

      Rounding. Try harder.

    2. Anonymous1 month ago

      55.5% and 45.5 %

    3. Anonymous1 month ago

      People can have confidence in both leaders.

  5. Packard Day1 month ago

    Wonderful news! Good luck and best wishes in leading the free world Chancellor Merkel. We in America are all pulling for you.___Now, could we please find a quick, yet diplomatic way to extricate ourselves from NATO and the entire European continent? Like South Korea and their mystifying ambivalence toward their crazy northern neighbor, perhaps it is long past time to let the people who live in Europe have a much greater say in their own national defense. Let Merkel and the other European (i.e. NATO) nations now own what is rightfully theirs.

  6. Anonymous1 month ago

    How can 56% of Americans look to Merkel for leadership and 46% to trump? That adds to 102%

    1. John Gramlich1 month ago

      Hi, thanks for the question. The survey asked Americans about both leaders separately. 56% of Americans said they had confidence in Chancellor Merkel on world affairs; in a separate question, 46% said they had confidence in President Trump on world affairs.

  7. Anonymous1 month ago

    “However, there is a sharp partisan divide in the U.S. on this question. Democrats trust Merkel (64% confidence) more than Trump (16%). Republicans, on the other hand, have much more faith in Trump (89%) than the German leader (50%).”

    I kind of wish people would poll independents more. At this point it seems like an 80/20 split is becoming almost standard for partisans regardless of what a President does or fails to do. Possibly identifying as one or the other increasingly just means you approve of that party’s President. If you don’t you’ll leave. (As I did.)

    1. Packard Day1 month ago

      A pity there is not cultural literacy pre-test for all those polled, independent or otherwise. For example: 1) Name the year the American Civil War ended, plus or minus half a century, 2) Whose side was the United States on in WW II, or 3) Given a map of Europe, can you correctly identify Great Britain?___Needless to say, anyone who cannot correctly answer at least 1 out of the 3 questions should be patted on the head and then kindly excused from the polling exercise.

      1. Jim Linebarger1 month ago

        Uh, excused from the country!

      2. Anonymous1 month ago

        While I really wish more people would know about basic stuff like that, it’d be counterproductive to the goal of the poll which is to get a comprehensive idea of what people think – no matter how little they actually know about the issues.

  8. Anonymous1 month ago

    Yes and we care so much about those countries that agree with the person removing Germany’s culture and replacing it with a theology and ignoring the crime of murder and rape. So yeah we care what they think.

    1. Anonymous1 month ago

      America is not exactly low on the statistics for murder???