What we can trust 2020 election polls to tell us
Polls can't predict the future. But they are the best tool to reveal the public’s priorities and values, and why people vote the way they do.
Polls can't predict the future. But they are the best tool to reveal the public’s priorities and values, and why people vote the way they do.
Our analysis of verified voters examines what 2016 voters and nonvoters did in the 2018 midterm elections and offers a detailed portrait of the demographic composition and vote choices of the 2018 electorate.
If a battleground state poll does not adjust for having too many college graduates, it is at risk of overstating support for a Democratic presidential candidate. The Current Population Survey provides high-quality data that can mitigate overrepresentation of college graduates.
The real environment in which polls are conducted bears little resemblance to the idealized settings presented in textbooks.
The rise of internet polling makes it more feasible to publish estimates for Asian Americans. But these estimates offer a limited view.
Associate Director for International Research Methods Patrick Moynihan explored the impacts of the coronavirus pandemic on survey research globally as part of an online conference hosted by the Centre for Social Research and Methods at Australian National University.
Our response to the pandemic has included the difficult decision to suspend much of our international survey work until further notice.
While the growth of online interviewing is a prominent trend in polling, there is variation within that trend in how researchers recruit respondents. This study finds that sourcing affects data quality.
Monica Anderson, associate director of internet and technology research, speaks about our latest report on the world of online dating.
Our director of journalism studies explains how we determined what media outlets Americans turn to and trust for their political news.