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    Democrats and Republicans place more importance on advancing own policies than finding common ground

    Republicans and Republican leaning independents overwhelmingly (76%) say Trump is doing an excellent or good job pushing for his policies, regardless of whether Democratic officials agree with them. By comparison, Democrats and Democratic leaners continue to be more critical of the job their elected officials have done at pushing against Trump’s policies when they disagree. […]

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    Video: Can polls tell us who will win on Election Day?

    We often hear a candidate is leading, trailing, or the race is tied. This is based on “horse race” polling, which estimates how much support candidates have, based on how people answer surveys leading up to an election. But accurately measuring the horse race is wicked hard for a few reasons.

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    2. Issues and the 2024 election

    As concerns around the state of the economy and inflation continue, about eight-in-ten registered voters (81%) say the economy will be very important to their vote in the 2024 presidential election. While the economy is the top issue among voters, a large majority (69%) cite at least five of the 10 issues asked about in […]

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    Social media influencers’ role in the CA gubernatorial race

    ☀️ Happy Thursday! The Briefing is your guide to the world of news and information. Sign up here! In today’s email: 🔥 Featured story Political money is flowing to social media influencers, including in California’s gubernatorial race. Candidates like billionaire Tom Steyer are paying creators to promote their messages online, and recent campaign finance disclosures have revealed […]

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    1. Voter turnout, 2020-2024

    Because partisanship and voting preference are highly correlated – and most adults stick with their preferred party over time – voter turnout is often a key factor in understanding why there are changes in electoral outcomes year to year. In the 2024 presidential election, a higher share of Donald Trump’s 2020 voters than Joe Biden’s […]

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