June 5, 2013

Prime Minister Erdogan popular in Turkey broadly, but less so in Istanbul

62%

A majority of Turks say they have a favorable view of Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan

As anti-government protests continue in Istanbul and other Turkish cities, a March 2013 poll conducted by the Pew Research Center shows Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan to be broadly popular in Turkey. The poll, which was conducted before the protests began, found a majority (62%) had a favorable view of Erdogan, while just 34% viewed him unfavorably. This is basically unchanged from 2012, when 59% of Turks had a positive view of the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) leader.

6-4-2013 4-49-20 PMAlthough Erdogan’s national popularity tracks closely with his party’s position in parliament (the AKP party holds 326 seats in the Grand National Assembly of Turkey out of 550 available), he is less popular in Turkey’s most populous city, Istanbul. Only 46% of Turks who live in Istanbul have a positive view of Erdogan, while 54% see him negatively. Istanbul is home to Taksim Square, where the protests began last week over the government’s proposed plans to build replica Ottoman-era army barracks that would house a shopping mall.

Across Turkey, Erdogan also receives less support from more secular Muslims.  Only 36% of Muslims in Turkey who pray infrequently (hardly ever or only during religious holidays) have a favorable view of the Islamist-oriented PM. Meanwhile, three-fourths of Turkish Muslims who pray five times a day have a positive view of him.

Here are more detailed results and survey methodology.

Category: Daily Number

  1. is a Research Associate at the Pew Global Attitudes Project.

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16 Comments

  1. Erol Yegin1 year ago

    This article is truly shameful because this survey was conduct before the Gezi Park protests. The survey was conducted from March 5th to March 24th. This survey was before the Prime Minister of Turkey has used language that is disturbing and hateful. He called twitter a menace to society, he threatened to hang protestors from a tree, and yesterday he said “They say the prime minister is rough. So what was going to happen? Were we going to kneel down in front of these [people]?” Erdoğan said as police moved into the square. “If you call this roughness, I’m sorry, but this Tayipp Erdoğan won’t change.” He also claims that the demonstrators, were being used by “some financial institutions, the interest rate lobby, and media groups to [harm] Turkey’s economy and [scare away] investments.” He has also used societal differences to stir up support for his government. This not about secularism vs conservatism because the violence on protestors, lawyers and social media users is against all religions. And destroy a park to build a mall is against all religions as well.

    Reply
  2. Jean1 year ago

    well, honestly for a country where the mainstream media airs the penguin documentaries and brainwashing programmes while the well-educated, secular and democratic people keep fighting for their future outside.. this survey seems reasonable but still feels like an unsatisfactory research as it’s far from reflecting the recent dynamics of the society in Turkey. The demonstrations for a better tomorrow continue in many cities of Turkey, not only in Istanbul, everywhere it continues and as strong as the first day with more and more people. People who think that this is a violent riot or just a flame that will end soon are pretty wrong because the peaceful demonstrators will continue and from now on they will organize these crowds for the coming elections. Whatever they do, they do it for democracy. There are Turks, Kurds, Rums, Armenians, Muslims, Christians, Gays and Atheists on the streets. In real democracies you don’t make feel scared if they are not like you, you don’t create outsiders in the society. While criticizing the Kemalist policy of the Early Republic, please be aware that current so-called democracy is not better than that either. A government which uses violence to stop people defending their rights for freedom of speech for liberty and for humanity will no longer be powerful in a country like Turkey. What really changed in the last years and especially with these protests is that the apolitical young generation of Turkey woke up now and they will never give up. Economy will shine again, we the people of Turkey are hardworking and honest people. Democracy will become mature with a participatory approach of all kinds of ethnic background, religious preference or political opinion.. but the freedom of speech and democracy will become as strong as an iron. Thanks for your hard work, though I don’t believe that the results reflect the reality of Turkey now. No more. Best regards.

    Reply
  3. Ferhat A.1 year ago

    @Canan A.

    You are really talking …… you know what i mean.

    You say: “Anyway to stay at point, if he didn’t want to kill secularism and democracy and didn’t impose his views on everyone in Turkey from how many kids people should have, how much alcohol people should consume, to Turkish airline stewardess shouldn’t use red lipstick, to journalist shouldn’t express their opinion freely, today I’d support him from the bottom of my heart, believe me! “.

    1. He has his own idealogy, like you have your own (Kemalism). So, if a majority likes his idealogy, they vote him. That is democracy.
    2. He doesn’t kill democracy: he is elected by 52% of the votes and he says that if people don’t want him, they don’t have to vote him.
    3. He said that people should have 3 childs, because he wants to still have young people in the country in the future. I live in the Netherlands: we have now a problem of an aging population.
    4. He doesn’t prohibit alcohol. He is just regulating it, like in most European (and other) countries. If alcohol was founded in our era, it would be an harddrug. It is that bad for your body.
    5. He is not a CEO, so he can’t decide wether stewardesses should or shouldn’t use red lippstick. If you want to use red lippstick, you just don’t got and work for Turkish Airlines. Like the girls with headscarfs in the late 90s: they couldn’t go to school because there was a headscarf ban.

    So be honoust, and give me one REAL reason why he isn’t democratic.

    Wait, the reason is that you Kemalists don’t have to power anymore to do what you want in Turkey.

    Reply
    1. LE1 year ago

      He is certainly Islamic fascist and he is trying to divide country. If you take his speeches and translate into many languages you can see he is an undemocratic person.
      God please save us from RTE.

      Reply
  4. Ulvi Kaan1 year ago

    You don’t want Erdogan because you fear he is willing to change the regime, but it is absolutely necessary to change it. The kemalistic elite utilizes Kemalizm for exploiting the people. This facist kemalistic ideology is the plague of this society. The reason why the people love Erdogan is that he fights corruption, brings wealth to the country, shares the wealth with the poor, solves the problems of whole Turkey. He is the prime minister of all. He doesn’t discriminate against the kurdish people or another part of the society ( no I am not at all kurdish). Well there was Turgut Ozal before, prime minister in the 80′s, who had tried to make all what Erdogan has achieved. The kemalistic elite first brought Ozal into discredit with the help of press in order to overthrow his government. Afterwards he was poisoned to death. Unfortunately this is not verified yet. I hope Erdogan will set free Turkey from the kemalistic ideology. Since ninety years the kemalistic ideology is imposed and children are indoctrinated. You had no choice. No chance not to love Ataturk. Those who protest against Erdogan are perfectly manipulated. At least 50% of Turkey is sick of the kemalistic system. The rules will be changed and the restrictions will be abolished. Turkey is on the right way now. And some are annoyed about this.
    P.S.Thank god I was not exposed to the indoctrination.
    Peace be upon you all.

    Reply
  5. My Name1 year ago

    According to another research AKP would get now only 38,5 %, with a possibility of +/- 1,5 %.

    See here:
    The explanation:
    gercekgundem.com/?p=550109

    The numbers:
    gercekgundem.com/galeriler/siyas…

    Reply
  6. Fatih Gür1 year ago

    This research is TRUE! You will see that on the next elections. It was the same like 2011, where they have made big demos “republican demos” What was the result? 50% for Erdogan. It isn’t a suprise if he get 60% now.

    Reply
  7. Belkıs A.1 year ago

    Pew has been a reliable organization on survey research with its strong metodological approach that makes it one of the leading organizations in the survey science (you may check with AAPOR content). 62% is pretty reasonable (even with -7.7% m.e.). As a survey scientist following the public opinion trends in Turkey each month, and we know that aside of the 52% of people who vote for AKP, there are non-voters who appreciate the policies of the government.

    Yet, I couldn’t find the results there, except the methodology. Any help?

    Reply
    1. Jacob Poushter1 year ago

      Hi Belkıs A.,

      You can find the survey topline for this question here: pewglobal.org/2013/06/05/erdogan…

      The topline is embedded within the page.

      Jacob Poushter
      Research Associate
      Pew Global Attitudes Project

      Reply
      1. Belkıs A.1 year ago

        Thanks Jacob,
        I guess I was looking for the parts that are not released yet.

        Reply
  8. Gokhan S.1 year ago

    You are way off my friend. Come to Turkey if you can to see the truth.

    Reply
  9. Adnan1 year ago

    This poll is quite fair i think. The ones who live in İstanbul may think Erdogan is less popular but , the people in Anatolia are in favor of Erdogan more than ever after seeing these pranks in İstanbul. The figures talk .

    Reply
  10. Canan B.1 year ago

    I’m a Turk and no one asked me and my family and my friends whether we like Erdogan or not. Who did you ask, 70 million people? And come up with 62% of the population like him??? This stats are wrong and UNFAIR!
    Please do not publish things that are not right. You have no idea how sensitive this is to people who are trying to preserve and advance the democracy in Turkey (unlike Erdogan who wants no democracy and secularism).

    Reply
    1. Murat Can B.1 year ago

      Rather than supporting a sort of censorship by saying “do not publish…”, you should have first checked out the link given on this page to see more details about the survey methodology. And you say that you are trying to preserve and advance democracy!

      Reply
      1. Canan B.1 year ago

        I have no intention to get into an argument with you or anyone, do you don’t need to attack me and be provocative. Usually when any research company publishes on a social media people do not think about the methodology. This is not a white paper publishing!
        When anyone reads this conclusion of 62 % of people supporting him, this for sure sounds like that the 62% of the entire country likes him which is not the case. To be very honest, I really want to like him. He works hard both for the country and fir his family to make them rich (his sons being millionaires by now-this doesn’t come with Harvard diploma right away by the way). Anyway to stay at point, if he didn’t want to kill secularism and democracy and didn’t impose his views on everyone in Turkey from how many kids people should have, how much alcohol people should consume, Turkish airline stewardess shouldn’t use red lipstick, journalist shouldn’t express their opinion freely, today I’d support him from the bottom of my heart, believe me! A d you I both know this that he wants every woman to cover their heads! I have a huge problem with all these restrictions. I don’t care if I were a millionaire one day under his government, if I don’t have freedom money means NOTHING!

        Please do not try to create an argument about my first comment on this research. Yes if a research company publishes stats on an important subject like this, “I” as an ordinary human being should not have to study the methodology not should have to research. This is published on social media not in an academic magazine or something, this research is not a white paper. People who don’t know Turkey will read and believe that the 62% of the “entire population” like Erdogan. They will not say “ohh let me check the methodology and see how they came up with 62 %”

        Btw-I hadn’t seen the link about the “methodology” nor I thought about looking!

        Also please remember this, being a prime minister does not mean to restrict freedom and democracy and make everyone live the way he wants to leave, it means to serve people with democracy! He wAnts to change the regime and this is not acceptable. I don’t care if our GDP is the highest in the world, if I don’t have my personal freedom which the only thing is not for SALE! No money can buy democracy and freedom!

        Reply
      2. Ulvi Kaan1 year ago

        You don’t want Erdogan because you fear he is willing to change the regime, but it is absolutely necessary to change it. The kemalistic elite utilizes Kemalizm for exploiting the people. This facist kemalistic ideology is the plague of this society. The reason why the people love Erdogan is that he fights corruption, brings wealth to the country, shares the wealth with the poor, solves the problems of whole Turkey. He is the prime minister of all. He doesn’t discriminate against the kurdish people or another part of the society ( no I am not at all kurdish). Well there was Turgut Ozal before, prime minister in the 80′s, who had tried to make all what Erdogan has achieved. The kemalistic elite first brought Ozal into discredit with the help of press in order to overthrow his government. Afterwards he was poisoned to death. Unfortunately this is not verified yet. I hope Erdogan will set free Turkey from the kemalistic ideology. Since ninety years the kemalistic ideology is imposed and children are indoctrinated. You had no choice. No chance not to love Ataturk. Those who protest against Erdogan are perfectly manipulated. At least 50% of Turkey is sick of the kemalistic system. The rules will be changed and the restrictions will be abolished. Turkey is on the right way now. And some are annoyed about this.
        P.S.Thank god I was not exposed to the indoctrination.
        Peace be upon you all.

        Reply