Long years of service have been the norm for past speakers, most of whom had accumulated twice as much time in the House as today’s candidates before wielding the gavel.
The overall vote share is similar to the 2010 midterm elections, and many of the key demographic divides in 2010 — particularly wide gender and age gaps — remain.
How many Americans are likely to vote, and which voters in the survey are the likely voters? Important as these questions are, there is almost no consensus among the pollsters as to how to identify each of these groups.
Midterm elections rarely excite the general public, but 2014 is shaping up to be an especially underwhelming cycle for many Americans.
Tea Party agreement among GOP has fallen from 48% in March 2010 to 33% in late April, 2014.
Obama’s job approval rating stands at 44% while Bush’s was 35% at the same point in the 2006 midterm year. Clinton’s approval rating was a solid 62% at this point in 1998.
Many voters say the 2012 presidential election campaign was more negative than usual and had less discussion of issues than in most previous campaigns. They give mixed grades to the candidates, the consultants, the press and the pollsters.
Republicans express increasingly positive opinions about the presidential campaign and are now about as likely as Democrats to view the campaign as interesting and informative.
More than half of America watched the first presidential debate live, including 11% who were "dual screeners," following coverage on a computer or mobile device while also following television coverage.
As of late September, 88% of registered voters own a cell phone of some kind-and significant numbers of these voters are using their mobile devices to get information about the 2012 election, to interact with the campaigns, and to converse with other voters about political issues: 27% of registered voters who own a cell phone […]