A First Look at Polling Performance in 2026
Preelection polls captured the direction of this year’s election, while generally understating the size of Democrats’ advantage.
Numbers, Facts and Trends Shaping Your World
Preelection polls captured the direction of this year’s election, while generally understating the size of Democrats’ advantage.
About a third of U.S. adults have left an online community, most often because they lost interest. Younger adults are likelier to leave.
About seven-in-ten Americans say social media firms wield too much political power; 55% say so of news outlets, but Republicans and Democrats differ.
LGBTQ adults are more likely to join online communities, though some also leave over people being harassed.
Overall, 80% of Americans express this view, up from 75% in September 2025. Another 16% say such criticism keeps political leaders from doing their job.
Trust in national and local news has risen since last year across parties and age groups, while trust in social media is virtually unchanged.
Estimates of the U.S. Middle Eastern or North African population range from 3.1 to 5.2 million in 2024, depending on how ancestry, race and language are counted.
Gas prices have surged amid the Iran conflict, but adjusted for inflation and wages, 2008 was costlier.
Political ads about data centers on Facebook and Instagram have turned increasingly critical, with 57% opposed and just 3% supportive ahead of the midterms.
Polls haven’t gotten worse, but fake respondents, synthetic AI surveys and election unknowns make the 2026 midterms uniquely hard to poll.
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