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short readsApr 14, 2015

Muslims expected to surpass Jews as second-largest U.S. religious group

If current demographic trends hold, by 2050, Muslims are projected to be more numerous in the U.S. than people who identify as Jewish on the basis of religion.
short readsApr 8, 2015

Q&A: How we projected the future of world religions

Demographer Conrad Hackett explains how he and his team put together our major new report and why it differs from past efforts to predict religious change.
reportJun 23, 2015

2. Views of China and the Global Balance of Power

In the aftermath of the Great Recession, many commentators remarked that the era of U.S. dominance of the global economy and position as sole superpower were at an end. However, in the intervening years, a sustained economic recovery in the U.S. has bolstered its leadership credentials, and in the current survey, about twice as many […]
reportJul 8, 2015

References

Updated August 13, 2015: This new edition includes corrected estimates for Iceland, Luxembourg, the Netherlands and Taiwan, and some related aggregated data. Alwang, Jeffrey, Paul B. Siegel and Steen L. Jorgensen. 2001. “Vulnerability: A View from Different Disciplines.” Washington, D.C.: World Bank, June. http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2001/06/1637776/vulnerability-view-different-disciplines Baicker, Katherine and Amitabh Chandra. 2005. “The Labor Market Effects of Rising […]
reportApr 2, 2015

Latin America and the Caribbean

Christians are expected to remain the largest religious group in Latin America and the Caribbean in the decades ahead, growing by 25% from 531 million in 2010 to 666 million in 2050.[1. numoffset=”59″ The Latin America-Caribbean region includes 46 countries and territories. For estimates of the size of religious groups in specific countries in 2010 […]
short readsMay 7, 2015

5 key takeaways about the U.S.-German relationship

Although Americans and Germans were adversaries in World War II, they became allies during the Cold War and remain strategic trading and military partners today. Our survey, conducted in association with the Bertelsmann Foundation, shows that the relationship faces new challenges.
reportApr 2, 2015

Asia-Pacific

Hindus were the largest religious group in the Asia-Pacific region as of 2010, with about 1 billion adherents. While the number of Hindus is expected to grow to nearly 1.4 billion by 2050, Muslims are projected to grow even faster and become the largest religious group in the region by mid-century. The Muslim population in […]
reportJul 1, 2015

Appendix A: About the General Public Survey

The bulk of the analysis in this report stems from a general public survey conducted by telephone with a national sample of adults (18 years of age or older) living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. The results are based on 2,002 interviews (801 respondents were interviewed on a landline telephone […]
reportJul 1, 2015

Appendix A: About the General Public Survey

The bulk of the analysis in this report stems from a general public survey conducted by telephone with a national sample of adults (18 years of age or older) living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. The results are based on 2,002 interviews (801 respondents were interviewed on a landline telephone […]
reportApr 2, 2015

Appendix A: Methodology

This appendix details the methods used in this study to project changes in the population size and geographic distribution of eight major religious groups from 2010 to 2050. It is organized in five sections. The first section explains how the baseline (2010) religious composition estimates were derived. The second section describes how key input data […]