Numbers, Facts and Trends Shaping Your World

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    Section 1: Campaign Interest and Engagement

    If current levels of voter engagement and interest in the 2008 campaign are any measure, the 2008 election could have historically high levels of voter turnout. Fully 72% of registered voters say they have given “quite a lot of thought” to the coming presidential election. In June 2004, 58% expressed a comparable level of engagement, […]

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    Section 3: The Obama-McCain Matchup

    In the national matchup among registered voters, Obama leads McCain by eight points, 48% to 40%, which is slightly larger than Obama’s lead in late May (47% to 44%). Obama is doing about as well among most demographic groups as Kerry and Gore were doing at this stage four and eight years ago, respectively. The […]

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    IV. The Struggling Middle

    17% of the Middle Class; 9% of the total population On virtually every key measure of social stature and attainment—income, education, home ownership and even health, members of the Struggling Middle are lagging behind other middle class Americans. Women significantly outnumber men in this group and minorities are disproportionately represented, though whites still constitute the […]

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    War Takes Center Stage as Obama Moves Overseas

    The week began with a controversial magazine cover. By week’s end, an anticipation of an overseas Obama trip dominated campaign coverage and brought Iraq back into frame.

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    II. Introduction

    Terminology in This Report “Limited English-speaking” students refers to Census Bureau data on students who report speaking a language other than English at home and who say they speak English “well,” “not well” or “not at all.” English language learner (ELL) students are designated by public schools as students who cannot excel in an English […]

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    Section 4: Race and Gender in the Democratic Primary

    While race and gender have been the focus of a good deal of discussion through the course of the 2008 Democratic primary campaign, most voters believe that neither was a significant factor in the success or failure of the Obama and Clinton candidacies. And among those who believe race and gender were factors, somewhat more […]

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    Most Americans See a Black Nominee as Important for Country

    Summary of Findings A solid majority of Americans say it as at least somewhat important to the country that an African American has won the presidential nomination of a major political party. But there are wide political and racial divisions over the significance of Barack Obama’s history-making achievement. Overall, 36% of the public says it […]