Registered voters, likely voters, turnout rates: What does it all mean to 2014 election forecasts?
How many Americans are likely to vote, and which voters in the survey are the likely voters? Important as these questions are, there is almost no consensus among the pollsters as to how to identify each of these groups.
Brazil continues South America’s incumbent streak
In recent decades, no incumbents from the 10 Latin American countries in South America have lost bids for re-election.
For many Americans, a ‘meh’ midterm
Midterm elections rarely excite the general public, but 2014 is shaping up to be an especially underwhelming cycle for many Americans.
In the polls, Tea Party support falls among Republicans
Tea Party agreement among GOP has fallen from 48% in March 2010 to 33% in late April, 2014.
Obama job ratings higher than Bush, but pale next to Bill Clinton
Obama’s job approval rating stands at 44% while Bush’s was 35% at the same point in the 2006 midterm year. Clinton’s approval rating was a solid 62% at this point in 1998.