Fact Tank Nov. 5, 2014

As GOP celebrates win, no sign of narrowing gender, age gaps

The overall vote share is similar to the 2010 midterm elections, and many of the key demographic divides in 2010 — particularly wide gender and age gaps — remain.

Fact Tank Oct. 29, 2014

Registered voters, likely voters, turnout rates: What does it all mean to 2014 election forecasts?

How many Americans are likely to vote, and which voters in the survey are the likely voters? Important as these questions are, there is almost no consensus among the pollsters as to how to identify each of these groups.

Fact Tank Oct. 27, 2014

Brazil continues South America’s incumbent streak

In recent decades, no incumbents from the 10 Latin American countries in South America have lost bids for re-election.

Fact Tank Oct. 8, 2014

For many Americans, a ‘meh’ midterm

Midterm elections rarely excite the general public, but 2014 is shaping up to be an especially underwhelming cycle for many Americans.

Fact Tank May. 21, 2014

In the polls, Tea Party support falls among Republicans

Tea Party agreement among GOP has fallen from 48% in March 2010 to 33% in late April, 2014.

Fact Tank May. 9, 2014

Obama job ratings higher than Bush, but pale next to Bill Clinton

Obama’s job approval rating stands at 44% while Bush’s was 35% at the same point in the 2006 midterm year. Clinton’s approval rating was a solid 62% at this point in 1998.