The complexity of the overall system, varying rules on how and when you can vote, and whether the candidate you support wins or loses all impact trust in the election process.
Looking at final estimates of the outcome of the 2020 U.S. presidential race, 93% of national polls overstated the Democratic candidate’s support among voters, while nearly as many (88%) did so in 2016.
Polling organizations have taken close looks at how election surveys are designed, administered and analyzed. We are no exception.
Donald Trump's four-year tenure in the White House revealed extraordinary fissures in American society but left little doubt that he is a figure unlike any other in the nation’s history.
Data tables from interviews we conducted with verified voters after the 2016 and 2018 elections may help answer some election 2020 questions.
More Floridians have registered to vote as Republicans than Democrats since the 2016 presidential elections.
Across a range of political values – around race, gender and family, immigration and religion – there are stark contrasts between voters who support Donald Trump and those planning to vote for Joe Biden in November.
40% of U.S. adults prefer to keep the current system in which the candidate who receives the most Electoral College vote wins the election.
Few United States adults – just 5% – say God chose Donald Trump to be president because God approves of his policies.
Roughly seven-in-ten Russians say their government did not try to meddle in the U.S. presidential election in 2016. However, 85% say the U.S. tries to shape the internal affairs of other countries.