Registered voters, likely voters, turnout rates: What does it all mean to 2014 election forecasts?
How many Americans are likely to vote, and which voters in the survey are the likely voters? Important as these questions are, there is almost no consensus among the pollsters as to how to identify each of these groups.
Brazil continues South America’s incumbent streak
In recent decades, no incumbents from the 10 Latin American countries in South America have lost bids for re-election.
For many Americans, a ‘meh’ midterm
Midterm elections rarely excite the general public, but 2014 is shaping up to be an especially underwhelming cycle for many Americans.
In the polls, Tea Party support falls among Republicans
Tea Party agreement among GOP has fallen from 48% in March 2010 to 33% in late April, 2014.
Obama job ratings higher than Bush, but pale next to Bill Clinton
Obama’s job approval rating stands at 44% while Bush’s was 35% at the same point in the 2006 midterm year. Clinton’s approval rating was a solid 62% at this point in 1998.
How the Lehman Bros. crisis impacted the 2008 presidential race
How the economic disaster that occurred just weeks before Election Day changed the media’s campaign coverage, and perhaps the outcome, of the presidential race.
Sanford, Weiner and Spitzer: Trying to overcome the headlines from their scandals
Three politicians who were forced from office by scandal are currently attempting comebacks. They are trying to overcome misdeeds that put them in the top five political scandals of recent years as measured by the amount of news coverage.
The Media, Religion and the 2012 Campaign for President
A striking feature of the 2012 race for the White House – a contest that pitted the first Mormon nominee from a major party against an incumbent president whose faith had been a source of controversy four years earlier – is how little the subject of religion came up in the media.
Infographic: The Rise of Digital Politics: Social Media, Mobile Devices and the Campaign
The growth of social media and rapid adoption of internet-enable mobile devices have changed the way Americans engage in the political process. An infographic provides a summary of the latest data from national surveys taken during the 2012 campaign.
Positive Media Coverage of Obama Surged During Last Week of Campaign
Much of the surge in positive coverage was tied to Obama’s strategic position, including improving opinion polls and electoral math, rather than directly to positive assessments of his response to Superstorm Sandy.