November 9, 2016

Behind Trump’s victory: Divisions by race, gender, education

Donald Trump scored an impressive Electoral College victory Nov. 8 after a campaign that revealed deep divisions – by race, gender and education – that were as wide and in some cases wider than in previous elections, according to an analysis of national exit poll data.

Trump won white voters by a margin almost identical to that of Mitt Romney, who lost the popular vote to Barack Obama in 2012. (Trump appears likely to lose the popular vote, which would make him only the fifth elected president to do so and still win office.) White non-Hispanic voters preferred Trump over Clinton by 21 percentage points (58% to 37%), according to the exit poll conducted by Edison Research for the National Election Pool. Romney won whites by 20 percentage points in 2012 (59% to 39%).

However, although Trump fared little better among blacks and Hispanics than Romney did four years ago, Hillary Clinton did not run as strongly among these core Democratic groups as Obama did in 2012. Clinton held an 80-point advantage among blacks (88% to 8%) compared with Obama’s 87-point edge four years ago (93% to 6%). In 2008, Obama had a 91-point advantage among blacks.

(For more analysis of the 2016 exit polls, see “Hillary Clinton wins Latino vote, but falls below 2012 support for Obama” and “How the faithful voted: A preliminary 2016 analysis.” For an explanation of how exit polls are conducted, see “Just how does the general election exit poll work, anyway?” )

Women supported Clinton over Trump by 54% to 42%. This is about the same as the Democratic advantage among women in 2012 (55% Obama vs. 44% Romney) and 2008 (56% Obama vs. 43% McCain).

By 53% to 41%, more men supported Trump than Clinton (the 12-point margin is identical to the margin by which women supported Clinton). The advantage for Trump among men is larger than the 7-point advantage Romney had in 2012 and much different than in 2008, when men preferred Obama over McCain by a single point. Trump’s performance among men is similar to that of George W. Bush in the 2004 and 2000 elections, where he won men by 11 points in each election.

The gender gap in presidential vote preference is among the widest in exit polls dating back to 1972. However, it is not dramatically higher than in some other recent elections, including the 2000 contest between Bush and Al Gore.

In the 2016 election, a wide gap in presidential preferences emerged between those with and without a college degree. College graduates backed Clinton by a 9-point margin (52%-43%), while those without a college degree backed Trump 52%-44%. This is by far the widest gap in support among college graduates and non-college graduates in exit polls dating back to 1980. For example, in 2012, there was hardly any difference between the two groups: College graduates backed Obama over Romney by 50%-48%, and those without a college degree also supported Obama 51%-47%.

Among whites, Trump won an overwhelming share of those without a college degree; and among white college graduates – a group that many identified as key for a potential Clinton victory – Trump outperformed Clinton by a narrow 4-point margin.

Trump’s margin among whites without a college degree is the largest among any candidate in exit polls since 1980. Two-thirds (67%) of non-college whites backed Trump, compared with just 28% who supported Clinton, resulting in a 39-point advantage for Trump among this group. In 2012 and 2008, non-college whites also preferred the Republican over the Democratic candidate but by less one-sided margins (61%-36% and 58%-40%, respectively).

Trump won whites with a college degree 49% to 45%. In 2012, Romney won college whites by a somewhat wider margin in 2012 (56%-42%). Trump’s advantage among this group is the same as John McCain’s margin in 2008 (51%-47%).

Due largely to the dramatic movement among whites with no college degree, the gap between college and non-college whites is wider in 2016 than in any past election dating to 1980.

Clinton received a lower share of the vote among young voters (ages 18-29) than Obama received in 2012 or 2008. Young adults preferred Clinton over Trump by a wide 55%-37% margin; by comparison, Obama had a 60%-36% advantage over Romney in 2012 and a 66%-32% advantage over McCain in 2008.

Older voters (ages 65 and older) preferred Trump over Clinton 53%-45%. This is roughly the same advantage for the Republican candidate as in 2012 when older voters backed Romney over Obama 56%-44%.

With Clinton performing worse among young voters than Obama, the overall difference between the preferences of the youngest and oldest voters is smaller than it was in both the 2012 and 2008 elections.

This preliminary analysis reflects data for 2016 as published by CNN.com as of 11 a.m. on Nov. 9, 2016. If data are subsequently re-weighted by the National Election Pool (NEP), the consortium of news organizations that conducts the exit polls, the numbers reported here may differ slightly from figures accessible through the websites of NEP member organizations.

Topics: 2016 Election, Education, Gender, Generations and Age, Political Attitudes and Values, Political Polarization, Race and Ethnicity, U.S. Political Parties, Voter Demographics, Voter Participation

  1. Photo of Alec Tyson

    is a senior researcher focusing on U.S. politics and policy at Pew Research Center.

  2. Photo of Shiva Maniam

    is a research assistant focusing on U.S. politics and policy at Pew Research Center.

190 Comments

  1. Anonymous2 weeks ago

    The reality is neither liberals or conservatives control elections. Independents do. Life is good. Both parties need to sell independents.

  2. Anonymous2 weeks ago

    It seems a lot people want to be left alone (which includes the Govnt.) and they either just do not response, lie to, or ignore pollsters. Seems to me that people are sick of the system putting them into a box (sex, race, nationality, money, etc.) Data can be manipulated at any level, too many know this now.

  3. Anonymous2 weeks ago

    The election was won as a result of the Trump Team having complex “Swing States Polling Data.” Clinton Campaign relied on “Popular Vote Polling Data,” which we Amateurs had that pegged @ Clinton [+ Approx. 2%.]

  4. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    The polls themselves weren’t wrong at all — if you look at the average of all the polls on the last day of the campaign, they had Clinton winning the popular vote by a point or two (she did), and they showed several of the swing states hovering around 50-50 (Trump won at least four swing states by a percentage point or less, and Clinton won a couple by 1-2 points).

    The failure was in the pollsters’ predictions, as most gave Clinton high odds of winning, even though the poll numbers did not support such an optimistic outlook.

  5. Carolee Kelly3 weeks ago

    We did not get enough young people to vote. Many of my college age daughter’s friends did not vote and many of the protesters did not. We need to stress to our young people how important it is to vote. I always did. When she was a child I would bring her with me to vote and when she was 18 I strongly encouraged her to register.

    1. Anonymous2 weeks ago

      I have two children in college and one who has graduated college. I also have two stepchildren who have never attended college. Ages range from 44 to 22 and all are registered as Democrat or Independent.

      None of my children voted. They all were Bernie supporters and felt cheated when he left the race. The two oldest children thought Sanders should have then declared himself an Independent candidate and continued on. After all, he had a strong organization behind him and was being financially supported by his supporters. My children refused to vote for Clinton or Trump because of their respective baggage. I suggested the Libertarian or Green parties as an option and all five said they had not been able to find definitive information on those candidates. While my children did watch the debates, there were no third parties represented. They did not want to rely on the internet for information since political websites are often victims of pranking. They refused to “hold their nose and vote”.

      To the point, I agree there were not enough young people voting. My children and their friends, because of all the political maneuvering during this election cycle, truly believe the “system is rigged” and that the “political machine” will prevail no matter who the “people” want to elect. This is not my interpretation of what they said, that is what they actually said.

      A pollster would say that my observations aren’t scientific, that the sample is too small. I can’t believe that my children and their friends are alone in their beliefs.

  6. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    I’m sorry, but I have to ask this.

    After pollsters complete and utter failure to be right about the election results, how can anyone lend any credence to anything they come out with?

    1. Lucas Perez (d4wnbreaker)2 weeks ago

      That’s how science is done. People looking closely to things know that it wasn’t by any means a “complete and utter failure.” What was the failure was the response that people had to the data.

      538 on November 4th had Clinton ahead by a single polling error, which is nothing and the average in terms of voting. The difference is that how their final tool calculated that she had 71% chance of winning, that’s a systematic error that you adjust when understanding why things go wrong.

      If you have a close look on Weather Science for example (and not the silly look “oh, it didn’t rain today, this thing sucks”) you’ll see that it’s extremely correct in a lot more than 90% of the time.

      Understanding *how* things are done make you, well, to understand how things might work or not instead of just going the climate change denial vibe that you are basically giving now.

    2. Anonymous2 weeks ago

      Trump had according to 538 a 25% of winning, that’s not zero and the election was absurdly close.

  7. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    Are there any statistics that break down the age of college graduates by sex and how they voted. I have a hunch that older college educated people who graduated in 1980 or earlier voted differently than younger college grads.

    I believe that the further one is away from being imbued with the ideas of political correctness, that reason overtakes labelling as a reason for voting.

  8. Sean Hartung3 weeks ago

    what do you mean by white?
    what do you mean by republican or democrat?
    what groups are you actually talking about? it your company has already used big data to define voters into certain groups, then what group are those, how many of groups are their?
    give a reply (email) because i would love to see an actual breakdown of what demographics voted for whom.

  9. John Edwards3 weeks ago

    Does anyone know the actual % difference in African American voters in 2008/2012 and 2016? I know the article said that the party lines % remained the same, but I want to know how much actual voter turnout fell among African Americans. I can’t seem to find that info online anywhere.

    Thanks,

    E

    1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      Good question.

  10. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    Preference by education and Preference by age are probably not independent variables.

    Because the acceleration in educational attainment is of relatively recent vintage,
    So a disproportionately large share of college-degree holders will be younger.
    (Or, simpler, there are fewer college graduates among our older population.)

  11. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    This feels surreal. Guess how many votes Trump should have got? Zero!!! Plain and simple. Get back to me in thirty years when you’ve figured out a way to explain to your children and grandchildren what role you played in one of the most disastrous elections in history.

  12. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    For these data to be truly meaningful, it seems that a more comprehensive constellation of information should be considered, including the number of voters by category (ethno-racial, gender, religious, educational level, etc.) and the voting results for each. For example, how many white, male, college graduate males are there in the United States? How many African-American, Latino, Asian, etc. college graduate males? Same for other categories. How many Asian, females with/without college? How many Latino female college graduates? If each category was cross-matched with all other categories, then it would be a lot more meaningful.
    Thank you.

  13. Roger Young3 weeks ago

    Hi all. I have a question. Can anyone point me to the right data?

    About 60 million people voted for Mr. Trump, and about 60 million people voted for Secretary Clinton.

    Is there any information about the average educational attainment of these two groups taken as a whole? In other words, is one group of 60 million better educated than the other group of 60 million?

    (Note that this is a different question than asking how people in a particular educational profile tend to vote.)

    Thanks.

    1. Anonymous2 weeks ago

      Did you look at the charts in the article.

  14. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    Interesting information. A few assumptions I hear commonly appear wrong or misrepresented as reflected by this data. The refrain that Trump’s supporters are uneducated is common. While those without a college degree did overwhelmingly support him, I was surprised to find that white college educated males were in his camp as well. Another allegation, that Trump’s white supporters are racist, implied either implicitly or explicitly. His margin matches almost exactly that of Romney’s support among the white vote. I can’t recall any aspersions of racism directed towards Romney or his supporters. Women supported Hillary along similar margins as their earlier support for Obama. Does it follow that the feminist push, while vociferous, may have been smaller than expected? The women’s margin for Hillary was matched by men’s margin for Trump. Does it follow that men are “against” the women’s agenda? In an effort to understand events, pundits, by necessity, create blocs and statistics, forecast, quantify seemingly disparate data and make assumptions. It’s always interesting to have a look “under the hood” and see if those assumptions stand up to scrutiny. This election has been, if anything, iconoclastic.

    1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      Excellent.

    2. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      “Another allegation, that Trump’s white supporters are racist, implied either implicitly or explicitly. His margin matches almost exactly that of Romney’s support among the white vote. I can’t recall any aspersions of racism directed towards Romney or his supporters.”

      Romney also didn’t run a campaign on divisive rhetoric like Trump did (religions should be banned, Mexicans are rapist and murders, Syrians are among you waiting to do bad things). There was that candid recording of Romney dismissing half the country has simply wanting handouts, but at least he kept those thoughts to more private venues.

      “Does it follow that men are “against” the women’s agenda?”

      I don’t know, but the fact remains that this is a man’s world, where men are paid more than women, on average, for the same job. And where men are in more positions of power than women. And where men dictate policy that governs what a woman can do with her body. So I believe a strong case could be made in support for your statement.

      1. Anonymous2 weeks ago

        “I don’t know, but the fact remains that this is a man’s world, where men are paid more than women, on average”

        That has been refuted. The 77% type studies do not take in account anything but full time work and obvious their sex. When all calculable factors are taken in account the difference narrows to 4-7% with some factors such as wage negotiation not accounted for. In other studies, they found that in 47 of the 50 biggest cities in the US women earned more than men in comparable jobs. The caviat being that they are childless.

        “And where men dictate policy that governs what a woman can do with her body.”

        People who believe abortion is wrong don’t do it from a perspective of “controlling a woman’s body” – they see abortion as murder – for which a strong case can be made. They do not want to control her appendix or anything like that, they just don’t think a person should be able to kill a baby because it is not convient to have it at the time.

  15. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    Why not offer voters a challenge: can Pew predict, based on demographical and geographical data, for which candidate you will vote?

  16. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    She won the popular vote by over 600,000 votes despite FBI Comey’s ill-advised announcement 10 days before election. When we adjust the polls for for the rate she was already dropping in the polls, we can measure that had he not said that, she would have got about 2,500,0000 more votes. She lost the election by 27,000 votes in Wisconsin, 68.000 in Pennsylvania and 11,000 in Michigan. 0.0005% of the people eligible to vote cost Hillary the election.That’s just some shit! I think there is a justifiable case to be made for the electoral changing they way they vote to get Hillary in there. It’s obvious he doesn’t even what to be there right now.

    1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      It’s our own fault, blacks and Hispanics did not turn out for our policies. I was afraid of this eventuality. Democratics have trouble voting AGAINST someone or something. Thinking, not voting is the same as voting against.

      1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

        Not true…while the pollsters expected Trump to receive a minuscule 4% to 6% of the Latino vote…He received a whooping 30% of the Latino vote!!!!

        If you are a Latino citizen and you work your butt off to feed your family or to help feed your family…you want more job opportunities, lower taxes, better school choice for your kids, less of this political correctness that has poisoned our communities! Overall, many Latinos (30%) decided that enough was enough!

    2. Anonymous2 weeks ago

      Has anyone considered that perhaps Clinton was the wrong Democrat candidate for this election?

      That she was the wrong woman to be the first POTUS?

      That Comey”s announcement was not a pre-planned event?

      That the electoral college worked as the Framers intended?

      That Blacks, Latinos, Asians, American Indians, illegal aliens of all kinds and types, and dead people in Chicago actually voted for whom they thought was the better candidate?

      That Trump was the wrong Republican candidate for this election but he was the lesser of two evils?

      These points are things that pollsters do not consider in their scientific musings.

  17. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    In Arkansas there was definitely a voting difference between college and high school educated.

  18. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    OK Folks – Id like to hear directly if the figure of 15,000 poll sample is correct and if so from which county / precincts. This business of non-educated white males skewed the election doesnt ring true; more interesting are the historical 30% of non-educated white males who consistently vote for the loser – Romney, McCain, etc… SO there is MUCH MORE profiling required.

    1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      I suggest that the word “indoctrinated” be substituted for “educated” in articles partaining to politics and political polls on our college campuses. I have observed in most of the oral polls on college campuses, the students had opinions about the policies of their candidates, but they didn’t know why. For example: Pollster – “Hillary Clinton is in favor or Sharia law for Muslims who desire it over our domestic laws for Muslim life situations. Do you agree with her ?” Female student ” Yes I agree.” Pollster ” Do you know what Sharia law is ?” Female student “Um..Er….Ah.” Pollster ” Let me put it this way, under Sharia law, a husband may be permitted to kill his wife if he suspects her of having an adulterous affair. Now do you agree?” Student, “NO absolutely NOT.” You can use this example as a template over most of those campus interviews and you would most likely find that the student population was basically “clueless” but not really educated. Denis

      1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

        That seems like a broad generalization based on one data point.

      2. Anonymous3 weeks ago

        That is just an authority bias. Or something like that. There were many social experiments involving Trump supporters and they’ve proven no better.

      3. Anonymous2 weeks ago

        You mean like when people were asked if they liked Obamacare and responded enormously to the negative, then asked if they liked the Affordable Care Act, and did a 360 in support of it? It’s not about ‘indoctrination’ so much as mis- and disinformation on the part of whoever is for or against something.

  19. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    Trump got 306 Electoral College vote while Hillary Clinton got 232.
    For #PopularVote: #Trump: 62,972,226 #Clinton: 62,277,750

    And that’s that. 😀 😀 😀

    1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      You are demonstrably wrong. Clinton won the popular vote, as did Gore.

      Clinton 60,981,118 (47.79%)
      Trump 60,350,241 (47.30%)

      1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

        Clinton won nothing. That’s like saying the football team with the most total yards wins. It’s the final score that counts.

    2. Anonymous2 weeks ago

      where are you getting your numbers?

  20. Grandmas Homestead3 weeks ago

    How do you come up with the facts as to our age, education, race, etc. when we vote. That is information that you should not know from a ballot. Are you doing it on exit polls. Those polls mean nothing. I have been voting for over 50 years and have never been interviewed at the polls. I think it is a bunch of trying to tell the people what we should believe. No one in my family has ever been interview at the polls and we have lived in 8 different states. Don’t believe all this junk science. I did my own poll watching and I know that there were voters I would question as to whether they could legally vote. Also, why did they stop having voters confirm that they were eligible to vote and had not previously voted in an election. Was it to help voter fraud?

    1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      It is explained in the section above, click the yellow highlighted sentence how does the exit polls work!

  21. Rusty Castleman3 weeks ago

    All of the polls predicted Hillary would be the clear winner, and they were all wrong. So why do we think the “exit polls” are any more accurate? There is obviously either bias in how poll respondents are chosen, or there is an underlying flaw in how the polls are done. Why would the exit polls be any better?

    1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      The polls predicted that Hillary had the best chance, but they never predicted anything with certainty. The fact that he was the 5th person in US history to lose the popular vote but still be elected, proves that it was not under usual circumstances.

    2. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      There is a big difference in asking a person what they plan to do vs what they did do. The pre-election polls weren’t wrong, it was the interpretations and reporting of the results that were wrong.

      The pre-election polls consistently showed that 8-9% of voters intended on voting for an independent candidate. In the actual election only 4.5% voted for an Independent. That means that 4-5% of those surveyed pre-election either stayed home or changed their mind or were embarrassed to say who they were really going to vote for. The pollsters and media only concentrated on the point spread between Clinton and Trump and ignored and sometimes didn’t even report the other 10% of those interviewed.

  22. Rusty Castleman3 weeks ago

    What is even more important, is the demographics of those who didn’t vote. 60-70 of Americans over the age of 25 don’t have an associates, bachelors, or advanced degree, and those are the people largely responsible for Trump’s election. I suspect the percentage of that group who didn’t vote is still much higher than the numbers of left-leaning folks who didn’t vote. If the electoral college is ever abolished, there will never be another Democrat in the White House. Do the math.

  23. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    With the Electoral College system and demographic disparity by state, an analysis by state would be more meaningful.

  24. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    Any data on division by income level? Thanks

  25. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    And here we are giving credence and credibility to post-election polls as if they’re any more accurate than the pre-election polls. When will people learn?

  26. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    These polls are too high level. not enough information.

    If you were to poll someone – these would be the proper questions
    1a. who did you vote for
    1b. was that person your primary choice or was that “the lesser of two evils” choice
    2. your gender
    3. your income level
    4. residence (City, suburban, rural, farm)
    5. race
    6. Home owner or rentor
    7. How many dependent children 0, 1 -2, 3 -4, 5+

    Now, you would be able to truly see a clearer picture.
    For example: The democrats get 80% of the Black vote vs 8% for Trump.
    But, now lets be able to get a clearer understanding of that 8%.
    Were they primarily middle to higher incomes in Suburban and rural areas?
    Were they City mothers with 3 or more children,
    Were voting for one candidate because you did not want candidate 2 to win.

  27. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    Mixing apples and oranges is not what I would have expected from Pew Research. Where do you place Black Hispanics or Caucasian Hispanics? It’s absurd to compare race stats to ethnicity’s. I asume you are aware that there’s no such thing as “Hispanic race”. Why don’t you use the US Bureau of the Census categories which someone e finally got right?

  28. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    What is the Electoral College Breakdown? Gender, and Racial Percentages??? December 19th 2016 will be the True Presidential Election…

  29. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    I have to argue with the premise that Hillary won the popular vote, with the overwhelming evidence of voter fraud in this and past elections I think it’s fair to assume that the number of dead, illegal alien and more than once votes more than covered the less than two hundred thousand votes the left is claiming to have won by.
    This should also put to rest the assumption that Al Gore won the popular vote in his run.

    1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      We agree.

    2. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      Where’s the “overwhelming evidence of voter fraud”? Can you provide proof?

      1. Matt M3 weeks ago

        That’s the problem, since Leftist States don’t allow Voter Id, and they don’t purge voting roles of dead people and people who move out of the precinct, district or State, literally any person can walk in and vote. California has the largest illegal population, they have “sanctuary cities” that illegals migrate to, and they have no Voter Id.
        Your assertion is a joke.
        You can never actually “prove” anything. That’s the magic of the Democratic Party. They manage to figure out every little voting irregularity that is possible and harness it. Also, now that that the DNC has managed to figure out that felons are allowed to vote, the VA Democrat governor was able to figure out a way to go around current regulations and allow felons to vote for the first time.
        How novel.
        The “Popular Vote” is a joke. In any well regulated and fair system, you’d lose.
        Until it is proven that 1) every person has 1 and only 1 vote, and 2) Every voter is who they say they are; there is no reason whatsoever to trust the “popular vote”.

    3. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      I agree with you on that I actually believe that SINCE 2008 when technology and computer vs paper ballots increased the left/democrats have significantly expanded cheating in polular voting in stronghold Democrat states to ramp up the numbers. I believe the 08 elction was more like 52% Obama , and 12 50-50 , this election Trump was brilliant on his early and often voter fraud and polling claim numbers which hindered wider fraud numbers. I still believe he if all were done fairly would have won 53% of the popular vote.

    4. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      The total she won by in at almost 400,000 votes now.

    5. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      There is no evidence of large-scale voter fraud. On the contrary, voter suppression and intimidation are prevalent across the country.

  30. CARLOS PEREZ3 weeks ago

    I would like to see a comparison between 2016 and 2000 results. Looking at the overall popular vote and the electoral college results, which are very similar, it would be interesting to see how voting stayed the same or changed. While I am hearing a lot of comments about a big shift in voting preferences, what strikes me in looking at such data is how much things stay the same in many ways.

  31. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    There are democratic white voters, so can any one help me understand the first chart? If the charts are only for statisticians, i need a better chart! Help.

    1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      The text explains your question:

      “White non-Hispanic voters preferred Trump over Clinton by 21 percentage points (58% to 37%),”

      That chart only shows the 21%, not the 58% or the 37% (though you can make a decent guess of them, as dem+rep should sum to about 95% each election).

    2. Todd Johnson3 weeks ago

      These graphs display the margin by which the demographic voted for the democrat or republican. So since the margin is 21 for chart and demographic you mentioned it means that out of white voters 21% more people voted republican than democrat. In straight percentages it would mean that 39.5% of white voters voted democratic and 60.5% voted republican.

  32. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    I would like to know how this data is gathered, votes are anonymous. I know a lot of people with master degrees in business and accounting and medical doctors and dentists that voted for Trump. I have hispanic friends, asians and black friends that voted for Trump. I think these polls are not accurate and are polled for democrats. Trump may not have a filter for what he thinks but in business moves, he thinks it through. He has 4 years in office, let’s see what he can do.

  33. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    To understand this properly, we need to also see the _number_ of voters among groups over the years.

    1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      Yes, this is an incomplete analysis without also looking at voter turnout for each of these groups.

  34. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    I would like to see the data breakdown by all categories: how many of each age group + major ethnicity + college degree vs. none + income. I would also like to see demographic breakdowns for third party candidates. Thank you.

  35. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    Obama won more of the white vote than Clinton. I haven’t seen this called out anywhere, but I think it’s interesting in the context of charge of racism that’s being leveled against non-Trump voters. I.e. the hypothesis that they didn’t vote for Clinton because of her insider status is more plausible than than the culture/race argument.

  36. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    So how exactly are these numbers gathered. I voted in NJ for the first time and none of the centers myself or anyone I know asked anything about our race, education level, etc. I ask because 95% of the people I know voted for Trump and the majority of them have at least a bachelors degree. A number having graduate degrees. I don’t live in a small town either. So I would assume that if we weren’t given these questions or exit polls, than there are hundreds of other counties which probably didn’t either. The problem with this would be that only areas with maybe more money and higher populations reside have people doing these polls. Now ask yourself who else resides overwhelmingly in these high population areas? Democrats and liberals! If my guess is right than these numbers are all skewed and misleading.

    1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      that says is that you know a specific subset of people. Ie: your personal experience, the people whom you choose to associate with, are a form of anecdote. Not to delegitimize what you’ve observed, but these are statistics gathered across a nation wide scale.

      1. Anonymous2 weeks ago

        Gathered across a nationwide scale can be just as big a trap as an anecdote. If I polled in 100 different counties but told you nothing about where those counties were, the exact questions asked, how the various categories were all created (because there is a lot of very simplistic lumping together of groups in this data, big red flag) and a host of other important data you could very very easily poll “nation wide” and learn literally, nothing.

  37. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    It would be interesting to see this data broken down by state. Latinos are a diverse group, not a monolith. So how did the Latino vote break down in Florida, vs. Nevada or Texas, California and New Mexico? What about the black vote? Was it +80 in every state or did Trump make inroads with black blue collar workers in the midwest? I think the media wants to keep the narrative that “Latinos” are pro-Democrat and in many locations they may not be by the massive margins usually portrayed.

    1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      Is there a divide in the Latino “race” or “ethnicity”?

  38. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    Latinos can’t be lumped together. Saying that is like saying they speak Mexican?

    1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      Cool! So let us divide:
      Mexican Latino
      Puerto Rican Latino
      Cuban Latino
      Spanish Latino
      American Latino

      European Northern White
      European Central White
      European Southern White
      American White
      Latino White

      African Black
      European Black
      Central American Black
      Islander Black
      American Black

      Let’s create more division and fall under the trap of the few racist bigots.

      It also should not be non-educated vs educated: It should be informed and aware vs uninformed and oblivious.

      Stop the blue vs red, black vs white, brown vs yellow.
      Present ideas backed with facts and supporting documentation… and make rational decisions.

      1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

        Considering French Canada, France citizens, all French speaking Africans,all Italian citizens, and even everyone in the Vatican are by definition Latino, Latino is way too broad a term to use in reference to Hispanics in the USA.

      2. Anonymous3 weeks ago

        You’re drawing false equivalency there. “Latino” is not a racial designation like “white” or “black”, it’s based on having heritage in a Spanish speaking country. Your argument is like saying there are no likely differences between ethnic communities from England, Jamaica, the Philippines, South Africa, Ghana, Australia, Guyana, India, Belize, Cameroon and Canada, by virtue of them having English as an official language. There ARE important differences between different Latino groups and locations. Eg. Puerto Rico is part of the US, some Mexican Americans have been in places like California and Texas before those states were part of the union, a large proportion of Cubans are exiles etc

      3. Anonymous3 weeks ago

        How is treating them as a monolith group with no differences and ignoring distinct cultural differences any less racist than acknowledging the differences and trying to bridge them and show that we’re alike in many ways, including diversity of politic.

      4. Anonymous3 weeks ago

        Exactly, people dont vote because of their race. They vote directly or in sympathy of the candidates promises. I dont see why the media is so confused as to what happened. They are just obviously out of touch or trying to promote an agenda.

      5. Anonymous3 weeks ago

        Thank you. Simple and Well said.

  39. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    Can anyone point me to data for my following question?

    Most education/voter preference data addresses the fact that people with advanced degrees tend to vote democratic more than they vote republican.

    However, I am looking for different data.

    I suspect, as a entire group, the 60 million or so who voted Republican have attained a higher average level of education than the 60 million or so who voted Democratic. Are there any numbers to support or refute this question?

    Thanks

    1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      Interesting, but… from the article it does seem that Hillary’s biggest loss was among the some-college or less group, not the college-educated. So even if your notion is correct for 2008 and 2012, it appears that Hillary held onto the college part of the Obama coalition but lost in the working class area, so 2016 is least likely to show the trend you suggested.

    2. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      CNN just broke it down…high school or less trump got 51% votes, college graduate 49% Clinton, post graduate Clinton received 58% vote.

  40. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    I’d love to see the data of income and race together. How did poor whites vote? How did upperclass latinos vote? I think this will help us clarify if the white working class voted Trump in. The current data is showing poorer people voted for HRC, but is that number altered when we factor in race? Thank you!

    1. Middle Molly3 weeks ago

      There doesn’t appear to be a breakdown (at least not yet) of income and race.

    2. Carolee Kelly3 weeks ago

      Poor southern whites tend to vote republican

  41. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    I find it offensive that whites can be broken down by education but no other races are.

    1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      Because educated “other races” would be such a small sample size. Unless you broke it down by High School diploma or GED vs High School dropouts

  42. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    is it safe to say that 2 out of 3 white american males voted for Trump?

    Is that the truth?

    1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      No. The exit polling suggests he had 53% of the male popular vote, while Clinton had 41%. So slightly above 1 in 2 males voted for Trump.

      1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

        But for white men, the support of Trump is much higher. Over two thirds

    2. Middle Molly3 weeks ago

      Not sure what the person above me was looking at. From an article on CNN exit polls which contains more information than above: 63% of white males voted for Trump. 53% of white women voted for Trump.

      1. Anonymous1 week ago

        Exit polls. How accurate is that?
        How many people said they voted for Hillary but actually voted for Trump?
        How many said they had a post college degree, but don’t?
        How many claim to be “evangelical” but haven’t been to church in years?
        Seems to me that if you want to do an ACCURATE demographics election study, you would have to have the voter’s name on the ballot and permission to research each person’s education history, tax records and contact the church they claim to be a member of.

        (1) I rather like the idea of requiring a photo ID to vote and (2) paper ballots with the voter’s full name, address. (3) Check all the ballots and if they are not US citizens, their ballot gets returned to them, along with an eviction notice by the U.S. Government, delivered by the National Guard, who will KINDLY help them pack and move. (4) If the illegal voter has a job, the Guard would inform the employer that they had hired an illegal alien who was being deported.

        Oh, and as for that emotional mess Hillary promoted by saying Trump was going to separate families. This is so easy it is ridiculous: The kids would leave with their parents. Just because they were born in the U.S.A. does NOT mean they MUST stay if their parents are deported.

  43. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    Was there a larger percentage of Evangelical white voters who voted in the 2016 than in 2012? Franklin Graham made a wide swing through practically every state starting in January and urged them to vote. He didn’t support either candidate but pointed out the positions each side held which demonstrated their moral stand on issues, Pro-life being a prominent one. Thank you. Mrs. Clinton’s off-hand remark about Trump voters being ignorant slobs created a great deal of animosity among us poor white trash folks.

  44. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    The problem is the breakdown is affected by the campaign promises so its basically useless information. I am sure there were more than a few women voting for Clinton based soley on gender. Iam also sure many students and former students voted for Clinton as she adopted the affordable college promise. This is all rearview mirror and predictable.

    What would be interesting is how many new or re-registered voters and who they voted for.

    1. Middle Molly3 weeks ago

      10% of voters were first-time voters. They preferred Clinton 56% to 40%. 90% of voters were repeat voters. They were evenly divided 47% for Trump and 47% for Clinton. There are no statistics at the CNN site for re-registered voters; that is, people who perhaps didn’t vote for a while but voted in this election.

  45. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    Can we please see an analysis that evaluates the factors leading to Trump victory in 2016 compared to Romney loss in 2012? So far no article has properly done that breakout. What factors led to different outcomes? This article says that there was no stronger preference by white voters in 2016 than in 2012. So was the different outcome driven by greater white turnout? Or by changing voter preferences in other ethnic groups? It sounds like it’s a question of turnout; this would be a trivial thing to check. Surely the article is not complete without that analysis?

    1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      Sec. Clinton got 6 million fewer votes than pres. Obama did in 2012. Turnout among Democrats was the single biggest difference.

      1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

        You can’t say that. They might have switched to Trump. Many did.

        1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

          but Trump had less votes that Romney did

  46. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    Excellent article. Much better than some others I have seen. I wish CNN had polled how voters with and without children voted for the less educated subgroup alone. One can imagine that the uneducated without children, who no longer aspire to go to college, might resent paying taxes for younger people to gain higher education and prosper better than they themselves. Sort of Schadenfreude. Anyone with those feelings would be against Clinton and Sanders for that matter. If they have children, hopefully they would want better for them, if they think their kids are capable.

  47. Kenneth Owen3 weeks ago

    It’s very hard to believe that not more senior citizens did not vote for Trump. The Democrats under Obama have looted Medicare and posted totally unrealistic COLA adjustments to social security. I do not know a single senior, except for one millionaire, who is happy with what has been done to these programs.

    1. Middle Molly3 weeks ago

      The COLA formula has nothing to do with who is the President. It is set by law and it is based on inflation. Actually, the Democrats in Congress had introduced a measure to provide some kind of COLA increase over the past couple of years, but it went nowhere due to Republicans in Congress. Also, the Democrats in Congress, under ObamaCare actually increased the life of Medicare by 11 years. It was not “looted”, but basic savings actually are helping it to last longer.

  48. Terry Pratt3 weeks ago

    Can anyone point me toward any voting data regarding “status inconsistent” voters? I see a lot of survey and exit poll data by income or by education but not by both at the same time: How did the “high income, no degree” voters, and the “low income, with degree” voters, respectively vote? When income and education are inconsistent with each other, which one is the stronger driver of voting behavior – in general and also in 2016 specifically?

  49. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    If this is based on exit polling, then why bother? We know the entrance polls were wrong. And the exit polls didn’t do any good in predicting outcomes before the vote was counted either.

  50. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    I would also like to see education x gender for 2012 vs 2016. That seems to have been a huge interaction in 2016, and it would be interesting to compare that subgroup in 2012. I haven’t seen any exit polling data on that subgroup in 2012, though.

  51. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    As a researcher myself, I was hoping to see a breakdown of all demographics. Will a full report be published/shared? Thank you for sharing.

    1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      Right! Ages 30- 59 ate missing

  52. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    Is all the demographic data based on exit polls, which we know were grossly wrong?

    1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      No, only the exit polls that we know are grossly right (yes, extremely right).

    2. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      That’s what I was thinking.. I was wondering why this didn’t make much sense until I saw that.
      The exit polls did not reflect the outcome of the election in many ways, so why would they use them to do “research”?

      1. David Kent3 weeks ago

        Exit polls are one of the only available ways to get an early sense of how people have already voted once polls close on Election Day. For more: pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2016/1…

  53. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    Any analyses of the turnout and viting behaviour of previous non-voters?

  54. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    How are supposed to believe that Trump did 8 points better than Romney with HISPANICS !!!

    1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      I know 3 people who voted for Trump, two minority women (both born outside the USA and one of them Hispanic), and one white Jewish man.

  55. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    Why aren’t other demographics explained in this piece?

    1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      They are sourced from the CNN exit poll of about 25,000 voters. We can only hope that after they voted, secretive voters were willing to be truthful. They obviously miss mail-in voters. These are the CNN polls he used. edition.cnn.com/election/results…

      1. David Kent3 weeks ago

        CNN and other major networks draw from Edison Research’s exit poll. More here: pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2016/1…

  56. DA Mag3 weeks ago

    I would guess the large non educated swing toward trump is why he won some of the larger union states. A lot of factory workers feel they have been sold out.

  57. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    The polling questions are so vague.
    Why not show minority education levels or income levels or union membership or millitary or government employment?

    1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      I agree I would like all those as well if they do education lv on one why not all and the income lv would be cool to see as well

  58. Anonymous3 weeks ago

    Nor was there a separation of black men and black women. Wonder why.

  59. Anonymous4 weeks ago

    Why do we use college vs. no college as a marker of class? How valid is that for older generations, who may earn a significant income without a college degree?

    1. Mary Schumacher3 weeks ago

      I have the same question.

      Using the lack of a college degree as the definition of “working class” or “blue collar” — especially in terms of a group that is older and more affluent than average, as Trump’s voters are — is highly questionable in my view. (Is Bill Gates, college drop out, “blue collar?”)

      In today’s very competitive environment, a business degree is a sorting credential required for getting a job — that is, for getting an opportunity to succeed in a white collar environment. But succeeding at business doesn’t require specialized education. It can be and has traditionally most often been achieved through mentorship, networking, and time invested in gaining experience.

      Trump voters were older and more affluent than Clinton voters — more likely to belong to a generation in which a degree wasn’t a requirement for entry into the business world, especially not for white males.They may have received employer-provided advancement opportunities like management training programs, for instance. They may have started their own business or inherited a family business. They may be very high-earning commissioned sales representatives, or people who worked their way up the management hierarchy of an established firm starting from a sales or line position. They also could be very highly skilled and very in demand technicians, artisans and craftsmen of one sort or another, etc.

      And, they may not see themselves as blue collar or working class at all. May in fact be and be seen by themselves and everyone else as white collar.

    2. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      Because most college are liberal and teach their liberal views. So you know only a white person who is uneducated would vote for Trump. -college educated white woman with 3 degrees right here who voted for Trump! I wasn’t asked any exit poll questions.

      1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

        Most people are not taking classes that really even touch on politics in college. Maybe an American history class that isn’t going to touch on current political opinions. If anything more kids are going to be exposed to the workings of capitalism and the free market in Econ 101 than anything having to do with Marx. Also, just because a poll didn’t ask you personally, doesn’t mean that it’s inaccurate. It doesn’t say Trump got 0% of the college educated vote.

    3. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      The idea that a survey will look at uneducated white voters but it won’t give the information from uneducated black voters or uneducated hispanic voters or uneducated Asian voters shows two striking biases:

      1) You are in essence saying that uneducated white voters are too stupid to know whom to vote for, so they just went for Trump for racist purposes. How about those uneducated white voters (and uneducated black voters and uneducated voters of other races) probably don’t have high paying jobs that will help them pay for medical costs that are (in most cases) more than a mortgage payment–and that’s just the premium. God forbid if you actually get sick or have a pre-existing condition that requires $500-1,000 prescriptions that are only a drop in the bucket of your $10,000 deductible. Even with subsidies, that’s catastrophic to even an upper middle class American!

      2) College education is the mark of intelligence. I know SO MANY PEOPLE who went to college for four years, and felt that it was “their time” to discover themselves (instead of discovering a trade or job skill). After four years, they had enough credits to scrap together a Liberal Arts degree, but they didn’t have anything specific to point them towards a career that could actually support them or their family. So what did they do? They went on to get a Master’s Degree in order to keep student loan pay-off at bay, but they aren’t anymore “prepared” for business. Compare that to a mechanic, engineer, truck driver, or other “blue collar” position who jumped into the career field either through trade school or on-the-job training and development. I would argue that the person who had a goal and just so happened to skip massive student loan debt to jump into the career they wanted has more smarts than a bunch of guys with college degrees who still have no clue who they are or what they want to be.

      1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

        Actually, what college does do is force students to come in contact with people from diverse experiences and backgrounds which they wouldn’t come in contact with anyway, and to learn about varying points of view. It, therefore, increases ego development–the ability to sort through and evaluate different aspects of a situation and points of view and the evidence for and against them, and the ability to moderate impulses.

        It’s not about intelligence. My father was the wisest man I’ve ever known. He had a 4th grade education.

        The reason no info is presented for college educated non-White voters is because the numbers of non-White voters who graduate college is still very, very low. There isn’t a large enough sample size to compare with White college educated voters.

        1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

          “Actually, what college does do is force students to come in contact with people from diverse experiences and backgrounds which they wouldn’t come in contact with anyway, and to learn about varying points of view.”

          Unfortunately, colleges today actively suppress a diversity of opinion.

  60. Anonymous4 weeks ago

    What percentage of Trump’s votes came from whites? I’d guess 85%.

    1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      If you’d bothered to read, you’d see 58%.

      1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

        No, he won 58% of the white vote but it does not say what percentage of his total vote was from whites. I was curious about this number as well.

        1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

          Your 85% is probably pretty close.

          Trump got 58% of the white vote, and whites are about 70% of all voters. So about 41% of all voters were white Trump voters. He won with about 50% of all voters. 41% vs. 50% implies 82% vs. 100%.

  61. Anonymous4 weeks ago

    This analysis is based on “an analysis of national exit poll data.” So, shouldn’t we be cautious since exit polls have been notoriously unreliable? Just ask, for example, President Kerry.

  62. Anonymous4 weeks ago

    Democratic turnout was down, any insights into which demographics failed to vote as compared to 2012?

    I have seen data showing a shift in the percentage, (ex: Trump got a larger percentage of the Latino vote than Romney in 2012) but that may not translate into an actual increase in the raw number of voters, if fewer total voters came to the polls (ex: Republican Latino voters voted at the same total amount as 2012, but many Democtratic Latino voters stayed home).

    Is there anyway to access the raw data?

  63. Anonymous4 weeks ago

    It would be good to see analysis of women voters per candidate for thoses that are married vs.single, female minorities married to white men, % of those married minorities to white men who have a college degree, likelihood of same candidate vote if same household. Thank you

  64. Anonymous4 weeks ago

    What proportion of voters for each candidate were non-voters in 2008, 2012? Who are the non-voters?

  65. Anonymous4 weeks ago

    Maybe I’m missing something, but if women make up the majority of voters, and most women voters went for Clinton, then the only way Trump could win would be because more men voted than women. Is that the case?

    1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      44% of women voted for Trump

    2. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      It depends on where those women voted. If they went 70% for Clinton in CA, and 45% for Clinton in PA or WI or MI, or NC, the national average would seem encouraging, but the electoral college system cancels that.

  66. Anonymous4 weeks ago

    I don’t remember filling out my education level when I registered to vote. How do they capture this information?

    1. David Kent3 weeks ago

      This post might be helpful in explaining how general election exit polls work. pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2016/1…

  67. Anonymous4 weeks ago

    What is the big deal about college degrees? Why is that something to use as a demographic? The stupidest people I know have college degrees, proved by the fact they prefer to vote for Socialists who want to tax them and then employ income redistribution.

    1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      perhaps their votes aren’t purely self-interested?

  68. Anonymous4 weeks ago

    Concise graphics with interesting trends. Is there any way to construct one by economic class?

  69. Anonymous4 weeks ago

    I’d like to know how other jews voted.

    1. David Kent3 weeks ago

      An early analysis of exit polls by religion can be found here: pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2016/1…

      1. Anonymous3 weeks ago

        Thank You!

  70. Anonymous4 weeks ago

    Partial analysis at best

  71. Anonymous4 weeks ago

    If I may inquire . . . do you crunch the actual numbers from the ballots for “demographic ballot analysis for the 2016 elections” . . .

    Locally, State by State and Nationally??
    Then by age range, education range, party . . . etc.

    If you do . . . how long before we can get them [your analysis] after you get the elections data . . . which is supposed to be about two to three weeks, from what I understand.

    Thank you for being there!

  72. Anonymous4 weeks ago

    Noticed that there was no analysis of Black and Latino college educated vs non-college educated. Wonder why that is?

    1. Anonymous4 weeks ago

      It might not have been significantly different.

    2. Anonymous4 weeks ago

      It’s ashamed how divided our country is among Whites and other races.

    3. Anonymous4 weeks ago

      I would guess it’s probably because obtaining the numbers about specific demographics like that takes time. That’s just my guess though, oh I also used to work at Nielsen Media Research and I’m glad I don’t now.

    4. Anonymous4 weeks ago

      ^Because 89% of blacks voting, voted for Hillary, college or not.

    5. Anonymous4 weeks ago

      Probably because there is little difference between how Black and Latino college educated vs non-college educated voters vote. Minorities generally vote for the Democratic candidate regardless of educational background.

    6. Anonymous4 weeks ago

      At this point, what difference does it make?

    7. Anonymous4 weeks ago

      Probably because this was about factors contributing to Trump’s victory and it was already established that Black and Latino voters on average preferred Hillary over Trump and where, therefore, not a large factor in his victory regardless of their education level.

    8. Anonymous4 weeks ago

      It was probably too small of a percentage to make a noticeable difference.

    9. Anonymous4 weeks ago

      Because they all supported Hillary.

      Wonder why that is?

    10. Anonymous4 weeks ago

      I was wondering that as well. I felt that through the early night all I heard about was the massive Latino vote that turned out for Secretary Clinton, but perhaps that was not true? I am curious if there really were not massive numbers?

      The big discussion seems to be about the white male vote, and how it secured the win for Donald Trump, but I also believe that Secretary Clinton failed to garner the margins in the Black and Latino vote as indicated by the research and a very interesting yet maybe sensitive statistic would be the college educated vs. non college educated margins of Black and Latino voters.

    11. Anonymous4 weeks ago

      Lots of breakdowns here: cnn.com/election/results/exit-po…

      1. Terry Pratt3 weeks ago

        By income and by education, but nothing “by income and education”. All those breakdowns and i was unable to find what I was looking for.

    12. Anonymous4 weeks ago

      That would certainly be interesting to see but one would have to keep in mind there are many more barriers between blacks and Latinos and college so it wouldn’t be telling the same story as whites.

    13. Anonymous4 weeks ago

      Black people tend to vote along the same line regardless of whether they have a college degree or not. However, I would actually be interested in seeing the data analysis on the college educated vs non-college educated in regards to Hispanics.

      1. David Burton3 weeks ago

        Anonymous wrote, “Black people tend to vote along the same line regardless of whether they have a college degree or not.”

        Not really. According to exit polls:

        Black men with college degrees were about 45% more likely to vote for Trump than were black men without college degrees.

        Black women with college degrees were twice as likely to vote for Trump than were black women without college degrees.

        White men with college degrees were about 25% less likely to vote for Trump than were white men without college degrees.

        White women with college degrees were about 27% less likely to vote for Trump than were white women without college degrees.

        Ref: washingtonpost.com/graphics/poli…

    14. Anonymous4 weeks ago

      That is an amazing question! I would also be curious about this….also college educated vs. non-college educated women.

    15. Shannon Ochoa4 weeks ago

      Very interesting, seeing as though more women and minorities, today, are receiving more education and obtaining degrees, that is, past high school than the “white” male. Would also be interested in the one-parent households and college versus non-college educated females.

    16. Anonymous4 weeks ago

      I actually came here looking for those stats. Just interested.

    17. Anonymous4 weeks ago

      I can’t believe you were looking for the SAME INFO I was looking for? Ha, they are quick to say the non college graduates of whites but can’t seem to find any other race?
      the media doesn’t get it and until they do and speak the truth, more TRUMP victories will happen as it showed in the HOUSE and SENATE…

    18. Anonymous4 weeks ago

      Because it’s not as interesting when you consider a large majority of white voters turned out for Trump. What you thought they just didn’t ask?

    19. Anonymous4 weeks ago

      It’s funny.. that’s why I came to this site as well.. not being announced

    20. Anonymous4 weeks ago

      Because they’re talking about why he won and those groups didn’t contribute to his victory.

    21. Anonymous4 weeks ago

      I have read elsewhere that the Hispanic educated vote in Florida went to Trump. That is how Florida went red.

    22. Anonymous4 weeks ago

      I’m curious about that too, actually. I’d like to know the demographics for all college educated students, whether by race or as a whole.

    23. Anonymous4 weeks ago

      My guess is that the difference between college-noncollege for those groups was statistically insignificant, or there wasn’t enough data collected for Blacks and Latinos distinguishing education.

    24. Anonymous4 weeks ago

      Not enough data.

    25. Anonymous4 weeks ago

      That’s because it’s reported by CNN

    26. Mark Charlet4 weeks ago

      Exactly! Because the media does not want the American public to know that blacks and Latinos with degrees mostly voted for Trump.

    27. Anonymous4 weeks ago

      The analysis of Black/Latino/Asian college educated vs non-college educated should reveal much more interesting information about this election.

    28. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      Because black and Latino communities generally vote the same regardless of education.

    29. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      Because it would expose a truth that the democrats want to hide. The percentage of uneducated minorities that vote democrat would probably be 99 percent.

    30. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      White people are more divided on this metric than others are.

    31. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      I am wondering the same thing.
      I would also be interested in gender by education as well.

    32. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      Noticed the same thing. But imo that could be because white voters were the key to Trump’s victory, so they were analysed in details.

    33. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      If I had to take a guess it’s probably because they’re included under “All voters” mate.

    34. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      maybe not a large enough sample

    35. Anonymous3 weeks ago

      I was wondering the same thing. What is it that they don’t want us to know??

      1. Random Ami3 weeks ago

        This is what they don’t want you to know.
        If you read the final composite in the NYT you will see that Trump won among WHITE non college educated voters by large margins AND college educated voters by a smaller margin BUT STILL won in that group.

        You read these articles and with the emphasis (and frankly, obsession!) liberals have about the “non educated” theme, you would believe that ALL non educated voters voted for trump and ALL educated ones voted for Clinton.

        This is plain distortion and selective delivery of the the real information in its full spectrum.

        What they DONT tell you or never mention is that Clinton won the large mahjority of NONWHITE non college educated.

        Amazing these folks.

        1. Anonymous2 weeks ago

          I am just curious… where did I put down my race, color, age or gender on the voting card? Polls and statistics are made up and distorted to suit the establishment that is putting them out.