The Latest Facts, Figures and Public Opinion Shaping the 2016 Presidential Election
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The Parties on the Eve of the 2016 Election: Two Coalitions, Moving Further Apart
Ahead of the presidential election, the demographic profiles of the Republican and Democratic parties are strikingly different.
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Confronting 2016 and 2020 Polling Limitations
Looking at final estimates of the outcome of the 2020 U.S. presidential race, 93% of national polls overstated the Democratic candidate’s support among voters, while nearly as many (88%) did so in 2016.
Q&A: After misses in 2016 and 2020, does polling need to be fixed again? What our survey experts say
Polling organizations have taken close looks at how election surveys are designed, administered and analyzed. We are no exception.
How America Changed During Donald Trump's Presidency
Donald Trump's four-year tenure in the White House revealed extraordinary fissures in American society but left little doubt that he is a figure unlike any other in the nation’s history.
Biden’s victory another example of how Electoral College wins are bigger than popular vote ones
Looking back at presidential elections since 1828, the winner’s electoral vote share has, on average, been 1.36 times his popular vote share.
In past elections, U.S. trailed most developed countries in voter turnout
Comparing U.S. voter turnout to other countries' depends very much on which country you’re looking at and which measuring stick you use.
A voter data resource: Detailed demographic tables about verified voters in 2016, 2018
Data tables from interviews we conducted with verified voters after the 2016 and 2018 elections may help answer some election 2020 questions.
Interactive map: The changing racial and ethnic makeup of the U.S. electorate
Demographic shifts that have occurred in recent decades in the U.S. are reshaping the electorate. Use this map to explore racial and ethnic change by state between 2000 and 2018.
Men and women in the U.S. continue to differ in voter turnout rate, party identification
In every U.S. presidential election dating back to 1984, women reported having turned out to vote at slightly higher rates than men.
A majority of Americans continue to favor replacing Electoral College with a nationwide popular vote
40% of U.S. adults prefer to keep the current system in which the candidate who receives the most Electoral College vote wins the election.
About a third in U.S. see God's hand in presidential elections, but fewer say God picks winners based on policies
Few United States adults – just 5% – say God chose Donald Trump to be president because God approves of his policies.
About Pew Research Center Pew Research Center is a nonpartisan fact tank that informs the public about the issues, attitudes and trends shaping the world. It conducts public opinion polling, demographic research, media content analysis and other empirical social science research. Pew Research Center does not take policy positions. It is a subsidiary of The Pew Charitable Trusts.