Key facts about Latinos in the 2018 midterm elections
More than 29 million Latinos are eligible to vote nationwide in 2018. The pool of eligible Hispanic voters has steadily grown in recent years.
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Hispanic voter registration rises in Florida, but role of Puerto Ricans remains unclear
The number of Hispanic registered voters in Florida has increased 6.2% since the 2016 presidential election, to a record 2.1 million people. Hispanics now make up a record 16.4% of Florida’s registered voters, up from 15.7% in 2016.
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Comparing Survey Sampling Strategies: Random-Digit Dial vs. Voter Files
A new telephone survey experiment finds that an opinion poll drawn from a commercial voter file produces results similar to those from a sample based on random-digit dialing.
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Turnout in this year’s U.S. House primaries rose sharply, especially on the Democratic side
Turnout in this year’s primaries for Congress and most state governorships surged compared with the last midterms in 2014, particularly among Democrats. Nearly a fifth (19.6%) of registered voters – about 37 million – cast ballots in primary elections for the U.S. House of Representatives – a 56% increase over the 23.7 million who voted in 2014’s House primaries. Turnout that year was 13.7% of registered voters.
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Voters More Focused on Control of Congress – and the President – Than in Past Midterms
The congressional elections are more than four months away, but voter engagement is high when compared with comparable points in previous midterm cycles.
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Younger generations make up a majority of the electorate, but may not be a majority of voters this November
Generation X and younger generations make up a majority of the U.S. electorate. But if past U.S. midterm election turnout patterns hold true, these younger Americans are unlikely to cast the majority of votes this November.
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Millennials approach Baby Boomers as America’s largest generation in the electorate
As of November 2016, an estimated 62 million Millennials were voting-age U.S. citizens – moving closer in number to the 70 million Baby Boomers.
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Commercial Voter Files and the Study of U.S. Politics
A new analysis demystifies voter files, the widely-used and comprehensive digital databases used to better understand the U.S. electorate.
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Q&A: The growing use of ‘voter files’ in studying the U.S. electorate
Read a Q&A with Pew Research Center’s Ruth Igielnik and Scott Keeter about a recent study about voter files.
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Use of election forecasts in campaign coverage can confuse voters and may lower turnout
Probability forecasts have gained prominence in recent years. But these forecasts may confuse potential voters and may even lower the likelihood that they vote.
