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    Methodology

    Data Sources The demographic and income data in this report are derived from the Current Population Survey, Annual Social and Economic Supplements (ASEC), which is conducted in March of every year. The specific files used in this report are from March 1971 to March 2015. Conducted jointly by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Bureau […]

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    The American Middle Class Is Losing Ground

    After more than four decades of serving as the nation’s economic majority, the U.S. middle class is now matched in size by those in the economic tiers above and below it.

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    Chapter 2: Immigration’s Impact on Past and Future U.S. Population Change

    Foreign-born Americans and their descendants have been the main driver of U.S. population growth, as well as of national racial and ethnic change, since passage of the 1965 law that rewrote national immigration policy. They also will be the central force in U.S. population growth and change over the next 50 years. According to new […]

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    State of the News Media 2015

    As the U.S. news industry faces a new mobile reality, how is it faring? From broadcast to print to ethnic and more, this year’s annual report on the state of the news media takes stock.

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    Elaborations: More Expert Responses

    Following are additional provocative and thoughtful answers from other respondents, organized in the same format as those in the summary. First, the insights of those who responded “yes” to the question, next the thoughts of those who answered “no,” closing with additional observations. Themes among those who responded ‘yes,’ there will be major cyber attacks […]

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    Chapter 1: Main Factors Driving Population Growth

    When demographers attempt to forecast changes in the size of a population, they typically focus on four main factors: fertility rates, mortality rates (life expectancy), the initial age profile of the population (whether it is relatively old or relatively young to begin with) and migration. In the case of religious groups, a fifth factor is […]

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    Above-and-Beyond Responses: Part 2

    A range of input by some respondents covered ground not related to the themes highlighted above. Put this in perspective—many things are worse and could have a more devastating effect, including natural disasters and the impacts of rapid online financial transactions Ben Shneiderman, professor of computer science at the University of Maryland, wrote, “Cyberattacks will […]

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    Elaborations: More Expert Responses

    Following are additional provocative and thoughtful answers from other respondents, organized in the same format as those in the summary. First, the insights of those who responded “no” to the question about whether a popular and trusted privacy infrastructure would be in place by 2025. After that, there are opinions of those who answered “yes.” […]

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    Elaborations: More Expert Responses

    Each increment of growth in bandwidth has enabled new communication, new participation in communities, more effective outreach to broader social networks, more access to information, and more algorithmic interventions to sort and filter data. Most of the experts in this canvassing see all those trends being amplified in the decade to come as gigabit connectivity […]

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