Use of election forecasts in campaign coverage can confuse voters and may lower turnout
Probability forecasts have gained prominence in recent years. But these forecasts may confuse potential voters and may even lower the likelihood that they vote.
Numbers, Facts and Trends Shaping Your World
Since 2015, opinions about the federal government’s handling of several major issues have become less positive and much more partisan.
Capps, Randy et al. 2015. “The integration outcomes of U.S. refugees: success and challenges.” Washington, D.C.: Migration Policy Institute, June. Connor, Phillip. 2017. “Still in Limbo: About a Million Asylum Seekers Await Word on Whether They Can Call Europe Home.” Washington, D.C.: Pew Research Center, September. Connor, Phillip. 2016. “Middle East’s migrant population more than […]
As Republicans and Democrats have moved further apart on political values and issues, there has been an accompanying increase in the level of negative sentiment that they direct toward the opposing party. Partisans have long held unfavorable views of the other party, but negative opinions are now more widely held and intensely felt than in […]
Gaps between Republicans and Democrats over racial discrimination, immigration and poverty assistance have widened considerably in recent years.