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Among the most important data on the voter files for the election analyst are the records for whether or not someone is registered to vote and whether they voted in a given election. These individual registration and turnout records come directly from records kept by each state for every election. The turnout record indicates whether […]
To understand the relative merits of alternative adjustment procedures, each was assessed on its effectiveness at reducing bias for 24 different benchmarks drawn from high-quality, “gold-standard” surveys. These benchmarks cover a range of topics including civic and political engagement (both difficult topics for surveys in general), technology use, personal finances, household composition and other personal […]
A new analysis demystifies voter files, the widely-used and comprehensive digital databases used to better understand the U.S. electorate.
With 10 months to go before the congressional elections, the divisions reflected in results from recent national elections – by race and ethnicity, age and education – are evident in preferences on the generic ballot for Congress. Currently, the Democratic Party has a wide advantage in voting intentions: Among registered voters, 53% say they will […]
Survey Report A month after Donald Trump and Congress passed the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, the public has mixed views of the sweeping tax overhaul and its long-term impact. Just as support in Congress for the legislation was divided along party lines, there are wide partisan gaps among the public in expectations for the […]