Numbers, Facts and Trends Shaping Your World

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    Theme 1: The information environment will not improve. The problem is human nature

    Misinformation and “fake news” have been around for as long as people have communicated. But today’s instant, low-budget, far-reaching communications capabilities have the potential to make the problem orders of magnitude more dangerous than in the past. Mankind has always lied, and always will; which is why the winners of wars get to write the […]

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    Theme 3: Things will get better

    The more hopeful among these respondents cited a series of changes they expect in the next decade that could improve the tone of online life. They believe: Technical and human solutions will arise as the online world splinters into segmented, controlled social zones with the help of artificial intelligence (AI). Anti-harassment is a technologically solvable […]

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    Theme 6: Unemployment will rise

    The emergence of autonomous vehicles and industrial systems is expected to eliminate many more jobs, but the number of white-collar jobs is also expected to decline. One participant in this canvassing went into detail about ways in which small human teams assisted by algorithms will be able to accomplish much more than large human teams […]

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    3. The Muslim American experience in the Trump era

    U.S. Muslims clearly express concerns and worries about the future of the country and their place in American society in the wake of Donald Trump’s election as president. Most Muslims are dissatisfied with the direction the country is going, which is a reversal of opinion from 2011. Majorities of U.S. Muslims view the Republican Party […]

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    1. Partisans’ views of their parties, impact of Trump’s election on the GOP

    In the wake of Donald Trump’s victory, Republicans are feeling better about their party than they did during the campaign. Republicans and Republican-leaning independents increasingly say their party does well in representing the interests “of people like them.” Republicans’ optimism about the GOP’s future also has risen since the election. Democrats also generally continue to […]

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    Theme 2: Things will stay bad, Part II

    Many of these respondents also cited another reason for concern about the future of the social climate online. They focused on the incentive structures of online life and argued: Things will stay bad because tangible and intangible economic and political incentives support trolling. Participation = power and profits. It’s a brawl, a forum for rage […]

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    Theme 1: Algorithms will continue to spread everywhere

    Nearly all of these respondents see the great advantages of the algorithms that are already changing how connected institutions and people live and work. A significant majority expects them to continue to proliferate – mostly invisibly – and expects that there will be an exponential rise in their influence. They say this will bring many […]

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    Theme 3: Humanity and human judgment are lost when data and predictive modeling become paramount

    Many respondents said that as people put too much faith in data, humanity can be lost. Some argued that because technology corporations and, sometimes, governments are most often the agencies behind the code, algorithms are written to optimize efficiency and profitability without much thought about the possible societal impacts of the data modeling and analysis. […]

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    Code-Dependent: Pros and Cons of the Algorithm Age

    Algorithms can save lives, make things easier and conquer chaos. But experts worry about governmental and corporate control of the data, and how algorithms can produce biased results and worsen digital divides.