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Europe’s Growing Muslim Population
The size of the European Muslim population in 2050 depends largely on the future of migration
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- Europe’s Growing Muslim Population
- Amount of growth in Europe’s Muslim population depends on future migration
- Migrants flow chart
- In three migration scenarios, population decline for Europe’s non-Muslims, population growth for Muslims
- Fertility and migration drove Muslim population growth in Europe between 2010 and 2016
- About one-quarter of recent immigrants to Europe are refugees
- Europe has experienced surge of refugees since 2014
- Majority of recent refugees are Muslim
- Syria and India top list of countries of origin of migrants to Europe, mid-2010 to mid-2016
- Morocco, Pakistan, Bangladesh top list of countries of origin for regular Muslim migrants to Europe
- UK received largest number of total immigrants to Europe, 2010-2016
- Germany is top European destination for Muslim refugees by a wide margin; UK is top destination for other Muslim migrants
- In countries with more asylum seekers from Iraq and Syria, perceptions of threat are generally lower
- Effects of migration on European population
- Projected Muslim counts over time under different migration scenarios
- The size of the European Muslim population in 2050 depends largely on the future of migration
- With continued migration, some countries would see dramatic rise in population’s share of Muslims
- In Europe, Muslims projected to have more children than non-Muslims
- Estimated total fertility rates (children born per woman) over time in Europe, for medium migration scenario
- Muslims in Europe are much younger than non-Muslims
- Muslims are younger than non-Muslims
- Muslims make up 4.9% of Europe’s population in 2016
- Muslims in the EU, Norway and Switzerland in 2050: zero migration scenario
- Muslims in the EU, Norway and Switzerland in 2050: medium migration scenario
- Muslims in the EU, Norway and Switzerland in 2050: high migration scenario
- Over 6,000 Migrants Crossing Into Bavaria Daily