Publications

Many who follow polls are asking how these errors could happen. Here, we’ll take a preliminary shot at answering that question.

Data tables from interviews we conducted with verified voters after the 2016 and 2018 elections may help answer some election 2020 questions.

Polls can't predict the future. But they are the best tool to reveal the public’s priorities and values, and why people vote the way they do.

Our analysis of verified voters examines what 2016 voters and nonvoters did in the 2018 midterm elections and offers a detailed portrait of the demographic composition and vote choices of the 2018 electorate.

If a battleground state poll does not adjust for having too many college graduates, it is at risk of overstating support for a Democratic presidential candidate. The Current Population Survey provides high-quality data that can mitigate overrepresentation of college graduates.

The real environment in which polls are conducted bears little resemblance to the idealized settings presented in textbooks.

The rise of internet polling makes it more feasible to publish estimates for Asian Americans. But these estimates offer a limited view.

Associate Director for International Research Methods Patrick Moynihan explored the impacts of the coronavirus pandemic on survey research globally as part of an online conference hosted by the Centre for Social Research and Methods at Australian National University.

This video from our Methods 101 series explains the basics of machine learning and how it allows researchers at the Center to analyze data on a large scale.

Our latest Methods 101 video explains the basics of machine learning and how it allows our researchers to analyze data on a large scale.