Experts and the public are far apart on the likelihood of AI increasing productivity, thinking on its own | Pew Research Center

March 27, 2025

3. Public and expert predictions for AI’s next 20 years

Experts and the public are far apart on the likelihood of AI increasing productivity, thinking on its own

Experts and the public are far apart on the likelihood of AI increasing productivity, thinking on its own

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Experts and the public are far apart on the likelihood of AI increasing productivity, thinking on its own

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3. Public and expert predictions for AI’s next 20 years
AI experts far more likely than the public to say AI will positively impact the U.S. over the next 20 years
Majority of U.S. adults think AI will eliminate jobs over next two decades, but experts’ views are more mixed
AI experts are far more likely than the public to expect AI to lead to fewer jobs for truck drivers
Wide gender gap among AI experts on AI’s potential impact on the U.S. over the next 20 years
Experts are far more likely than the public to predict AI will have a positive effect on jobs, the economy – but few believe AI will be good for elections or the news
For both experts and the public, men rate AI’s impact on education, the environment and medical care in the U.S. more positively than women
Experts and the public are far apart on the likelihood of AI increasing productivity, thinking on its own
AI experts are far more likely than the U.S. public to think they’ll one day trust AI with important decisions