Getting It Wrong
Several factors deserve exploration, but one should not ignore the possibility of the longstanding pattern of pre-election polls overstating support for black candidates among white voters, particularly white voters who are poor.
Numbers, Facts and Trends Shaping Your World
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New Hampshire Teaches National News Media a Lesson
It wasn’t quite “Dewey Defeats Truman,” but after the Jan. 8 Granite State primary confounded many of the pollsters and pundits, one of the key story lines that emerged in coverage of the McCain and Clinton victories was the media’s proclivity to predict and pre-analyze the results.
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Report: Teachers Earn Less than Peers
In 40 states, public school teachers fail to make as much as workers in comparable professions, such as reporters and insurance underwriters, according to a new report by the Education Research Center.
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Increased Use of Video-sharing Sites
48% of internet users have been to video-sharing sites such as YouTube and the daily traffic to such sites on a typical day has doubled in the past year.
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22 Governors Weigh in on Presidential Race
Candidates covet endorsements by state chief executives, and so far 22 governors have announced their choices.
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Rating Women as Leaders Worldwide
Among the 47 nations and political entities surveyed in the latest Pew Global Attitudes report, the great majority (40) say that women are as good as or better than men as political leaders.
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Democrats Enthused about Primaries
Roughly three-quarters of Democrats (74%) say they are especially looking forward to the 2008 primary elections, the first of which is being held today in New Hampshire; by comparison, only about half of Republicans (49%) share this enthusiasm.
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Most Important Event of ’07
A plurality of Americans (23%) cite Iraq as the single most important news event of 2007, but significantly fewer named Iraq as the year’s top event than did so in 2006 (34%).
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Tempered Optimism about 2008
Half of Americans say that as far as they are concerned, 2008 will be a better year than 2007, while 34% say it will be worse.
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Gen-Next: The Least Republican Generation
That’s the proportion of voters ages 18-24 who cast their votes for Democratic candidates in the 2006 mid-term elections — a trend that appears to be continuing in the run-up to the 2008 presidential election.