Millennials match Baby Boomers as largest generation in U.S. electorate, but will they vote?
Millennials, who already have surpassed Baby Boomers as the United States’ largest living generation, now have caught up to the Boomers when it comes to their share of the American electorate. As of April 2016, an estimated 69.2 million Millennials (adults ages 18-35 in 2016) were voting-age U.S. citizens – a number almost equal to […]
10 demographic trends that are shaping the U.S. and the world
We gathered key facts for this year’s Population Association of America (PAA) meeting.
Democratic edge in Hispanic voter registration grows in Florida
Hispanic voters this year make up an even larger share of the state’s registered voters than in past years, but the profile of the Latino electorate has shifted over the past decade or so.
Super Tuesday showcases electorate’s growing racial, ethnic diversity
The U.S. electorate this year will be the country’s most diverse ever, and that is evident in several Super Tuesday states, in which blacks could have a significant impact.
The 2016 Presidential Campaign – a News Event That’s Hard to Miss
About nine-in-ten Americans learn about the election in a given week. But they are divided on what type of news source – from television to digital to radio to print – they find most helpful.
2016 electorate will be the most diverse in U.S. history
Nearly one-in-three eligible voters on Election Day (31%) will be Hispanic, black, Asian or another racial or ethnic minority.
Mapping the Latino Electorate by Congressional District
A record 25.2 million Latinos will be eligible to vote in the 2014 midterm elections. See how the share of Latino voters varies by congressional district.
Mapping the Latino Electorate by State
A record 25.2 million Latinos will be eligible to vote in the 2014 midterm elections. See how the share of Latino voters varies by state.
Millennials Make Up Almost Half of Latino Eligible Voters in 2016
Hispanic millennials will account for 44% of the Hispanic electorate. The coming of age of youth and naturalizations will drive the number of Latino eligible voters to a record 27.3 million this year.
Appendix C: Sensitivity to the turnout forecast
The candidate preferences of voters and nonvoters in 2014 were very different. This fact makes cutoff methods very sensitive to the chosen turnout threshold. Using the Perry-Gallup method, the forecast margin ranges from a tie vote (47%-47%) with a more inclusive model (a turnout forecast of 60% of registered voters, 42% of the general public) […]