Fact Tank Feb. 4, 2016

Contested presidential conventions, and why parties try to avoid them

There hasn’t been a seriously contested nominating convention in decades, and a look at history helps explain why: Candidates who needed multiple ballots to get nominated usually didn’t go on to win the White House.

Fact Tank Jan. 28, 2016

Partisan divide grows over value of Washington experience

With the first 2016 nomination contests at hand, a new survey underscores the extent to which Republicans have come to place less value on a presidential candidate’s prior experience in office – especially experience as a Washington official.

Pew Research Center Jan. 7, 2016

Can Likely Voter Models Be Improved?

High-profile polling failures in recent elections have drawn attention to the challenges in using surveys to predict outcomes. Our study examines various methods of determining who is a likely voter.

U.S. Politics Dec. 14, 2015

Debates Help Fuel Strong Interest in 2016 Campaign

As candidates in both parties prepare for the next round of presidential debates, a new national survey finds that the public is highly engaged by the 2016 campaign.

Fact Tank Dec. 7, 2015

As more money flows into campaigns, Americans worry about its influence

There’s more money in the political system than at any time since the reforms of the 1970s, a trend that concerns most Americans regardless of party or ideology.

Fact Tank Oct. 6, 2015

GOP speaker hopefuls have served far less time in House than predecessors

Long years of service have been the norm for past speakers, most of whom had accumulated twice as much time in the House as today’s candidates before wielding the gavel.

U.S. Politics Oct. 2, 2015

Contrasting Partisan Perspectives on Campaign 2016

Republicans now want new ideas and a different approach in a presidential candidate rather than experience and a proven record, while Democrats are more divided on which qualities they prefer.

Fact Tank Jul. 23, 2015

The 2016 GOP field has a bumper crop of Catholic candidates

Only three Roman Catholics have ever run for president on a major party ticket, and all were Democrats. But that may be about to change. So far six Catholics (including some early favorites) are running for the 2016 Republican presidential nomination.

Fact Tank Jun. 24, 2015

Jindal followed a rare path, from Hinduism to Catholicism

Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal, a newly declared Republican candidate for president, is hoping to attract support from conservative evangelical Christian voters. Jindal himself is a Catholic, and, as the son of immigrants from Hindu-majority India, was raised in the Hindu faith.

Fact Tank Jun. 15, 2015

Republicans and Democrats sharply divided on how tough to be with Russia

As the Obama White House and its NATO allies discuss their responses to Russia’s activities in Ukraine, Washington faces its own internal divisions, some of which are being reflected in the early stages of the 2016 presidential campaign.