Electorally competitive counties have grown scarcer in recent decades
There are fewer electorally competitive counties, and more counties in which Democrats or Republicans hold overwhelming vote advantages, than at any time in the past three decades or so.
Only 1 in 7 House districts were competitive in 2012
In last year’s elections, winners won by at least 10 points in all but 62 of the 435 House districts.
Tea Party Republicans exert stronger influence in GOP primaries
There is a 17-point gap between the percentage of Tea Party Republicans (62%) and non-Tea Party Republicans (45%) who say they always vote in primary elections.
Inside the 2012 Latino Electorate
The 2012 Latino electorate consisted of a record 11.2 million voters, but Latinos’ voter turnout rate continues to trail behind the rate of blacks and whites.
Six Take-Aways from the Census Bureau’s Voting Report
By Paul Taylor and Mark Hugo Lopez Today’s report from the Census Bureau on the diversifying American electorate in 2012 confirms an historic turnout milestone first noted last December by the Pew Research Center, but undercuts a number of other widely-reported demographic analyses of last year’s presidential vote. Here are the six most important take-aways […]
Six take-aways from the Census Bureau’s voting report
Today’s report from the Census Bureau on the diversifying American electorate in 2012 confirms an historic turnout milestone first noted last December by the Pew Research Center, but undercuts a number of other widely-reported demographic analyses of last year’s presidential vote. Here are the six most important take-aways from Census Bureau data: 1. For the […]
The Media, Religion and the 2012 Campaign for President
A striking feature of the 2012 race for the White House – a contest that pitted the first Mormon nominee from a major party against an incumbent president whose faith had been a source of controversy four years earlier – is how little the subject of religion came up in the media.
White Evangelical Voters Supported Romney
White evangelical Protestants voted as heavily for Republican candidate Mitt Romney as they did for the GOP candidates in 2008 and 2004, and they made up about the same share of the electorate as they did in the two previous elections.
Young Voters Supported Obama Less, But May Have Mattered More
Barack Obama won 60% of the vote among those younger than 30, down from 66% in 2008, but his youth support may have been an even more important factor in his victory this year.
Positive Media Coverage of Obama Surged During Last Week of Campaign
Much of the surge in positive coverage was tied to Obama’s strategic position, including improving opinion polls and electoral math, rather than directly to positive assessments of his response to Superstorm Sandy.