Political & Civic Engagement

reportMar 7, 2008

Hispanics Key to Clinton Victories in Nation’s Two Biggest States

Sen. Hillary Clinton would not have won primaries in the nation’s two largest states–California and Texas–if Latinos had not turned out in such large numbers and if they had not voted so heavily in her favor, according to an analysis of exit polling data.
reportJan 10, 2008

Getting It Wrong

Several factors deserve exploration, but one should not ignore the possibility of the longstanding pattern of pre-election polls overstating support for black candidates among white voters, particularly white voters who are poor.
reportJan 10, 2008

Getting It Wrong

The failure of the New Hampshire pre-election surveys to mirror the outcome of the Democratic race is one of the most significant miscues in modern polling history. All the published polls, including those that surveyed through Monday, had Sen. Barack Obama comfortably ahead with an average margin of more than 8 percent. These same polls […]
reportDec 14, 2007

Primary Problems: How Exit Pollsters Plan to Cope with a Super-Crowded Election Season

From holiday distractions to winter weather, the people who will be measuring voters’ preferences in primaries and caucuses around the nation will be dealing with unprecedented problems. Here’s how they plan to do it.
reportDec 7, 2007

Iowa, NH Voters Heavily Courted, Dems Have Edge in Personal Contact

Summary of Findings Voters in the early primary states of Iowa and New Hampshire are being inundated with mail, phone calls and other contacts from the presidential campaigns. In particular, overwhelming majorities of likely voters in both states have received pre-recorded calls, or “robo-calls,” about the campaign. However, far more Democratic voters than Republican voters […]
fact sheetJul 24, 2007

The Latino Electorate: An Analysis of the 2006 Election

Latinos made up a slightly larger share of the total voter turnout in the mid-term election of 2006 than they had in the mid-term election of 2002.
reportJul 24, 2007

The Latino Electorate: A Widening Gap between Voters and the Larger Hispanic Population in the U.S.

Latinos made up a slightly larger share of the total voter turnout in the 2006 election than in 2002; but, a new Pew Hispanic analysis finds, the Latino vote continued to lag well behind growth of the Latino population primarily because a high percentage of the new Hispanics in the U.S. are either too young to vote or are not citizens.
reportOct 18, 2006

Who Votes, Who Doesn’t and Why

A new survey finds large differences between Americans who are not registered to vote or vote only rarely and those who cast ballots at least some of the time. These two groups at the bottom of the voting participation scale are much less likely than regular or intermittent voters to believe that voting will make much of a difference.
reportOct 2, 2006

Hispanics and the 2006 Election

This fact sheet presents estimates for the number of Hispanics who will be U.S. citizens and at least 18 years old and thus eligible to vote as of November 2006.
reportMay 30, 2006

Politics and the “DotNet” Generation

Not only is there evidence of a reawakening of young people to public life, but today’s youth are politically distinctive in many ways.

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Political & Civic Engagement

Hispanics Key to Clinton Victories in Nation’s Two Biggest States

Getting It Wrong

Getting It Wrong

Primary Problems: How Exit Pollsters Plan to Cope with a Super-Crowded Election Season

Iowa, NH Voters Heavily Courted, Dems Have Edge in Personal Contact

The Latino Electorate: An Analysis of the 2006 Election

The Latino Electorate: A Widening Gap between Voters and the Larger Hispanic Population in the U.S.

Who Votes, Who Doesn’t and Why

Hispanics and the 2006 Election