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    Video: Can polls tell us who will win on Election Day?

    We often hear a candidate is leading, trailing, or the race is tied. This is based on “horse race” polling, which estimates how much support candidates have, based on how people answer surveys leading up to an election. But accurately measuring the horse race is wicked hard for a few reasons.

  • newsletter

    Race & Ethnicity 9/9/26

    Race & Ethnicity A monthly digest of the Center’s latest research on race and ethnicity · Subscribe ↗ Other publications: The U.S. electorate’s changing racial and ethnic makeup Trump’s approval rating hits second-term low among his Latino voters, though many still approve Who sees themselves as working class? Refugee admissions to the U.S. are dropping sharply in […]

  • report

    Social media influencers’ role in the CA gubernatorial race

    ☀️ Happy Thursday! The Briefing is your guide to the world of news and information. Sign up here! In today’s email: 🔥 Featured story Political money is flowing to social media influencers, including in California’s gubernatorial race. Candidates like billionaire Tom Steyer are paying creators to promote their messages online, and recent campaign finance disclosures have revealed […]

  • report

    Midterm voting preferences by race and ethnicity, age, and other demographics

    This is part of a larger report on Americans and the 2026 midterm elections. Several months ahead of the 2026 midterm elections, Democrats hold a 6 percentage point edge over Republicans among registered voters on the generic ballot for Congress (43% vs. 37%). Two-in-ten voters say they are not sure (14%) or support another candidate […]

  • report

    The political typology illustrates gaps in political values by age, race and ethnicity

    The prevalence of Pew Research Center’s nine political typology groups varies considerably by age and across racial and ethnic groups. This variation mirrors these demographic divides in American politics today – both overall and in each of the partisan coalitions. This analysis is part of Pew Research Center’s 2026 Political Typology. To learn more about […]

  • report

    9. Race and ethnicity in religious congregations

    Americans who go to religious services tend to worship at places where most other congregants and senior leaders share their race or ethnicity. Religious Landscape Study by Pew Research Center.