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report | Feb 21, 2020

5. Tech will have mixed effects that are not possible to guess now

When asked about how people’s uses of technology will affect core aspects of democracy in the next decade about 18% of the experts responding to this canvassing said they will not affect much change in core aspects of democracy and democratic representation. Fred Baker, board member of the Internet Systems Consortium and longtime leader in […]

report | Jun 30, 2020

2. Tech is (just) a tool

Many of these experts pointed out that technology is neither inherently helpful nor harmful. It is simply a tool. They said the real effects of technology depend upon how it is wielded. It can be used to inspire and catalyze change just as easily as it can be used in ways that are detrimental to […]

report | Jun 30, 2020

5. Tech causes more problems than it solves

A number of respondents to this canvassing about the likely future of social and civic innovation shared concerns. Some said that technology causes more problems than it solves. Some said it is likely that emerging worries over the impact of digital life will be at least somewhat mitigated as humans adapt. Some said it is […]

report | May 23, 2019

Methodology

News outlet selection The study was based on American news outlets whose websites: Have a monthly average of more than 20 million unique visitors from July-September of 2018, according to Comscore’s data (Comscore Media Metrix Multi-platform, unique visitors, July-September 2018). Provide original reporting and news and information content for a general audience. Cover a variety […]

report | Oct 28, 2019

4. The internet will continue to make life better

A large share of respondents predict enormous potential for improved quality of life over the next 50 years for most individuals thanks to internet connectivity, although many said the benefits of a wired world are not likely to be evenly distributed. Andrew Tutt, an expert in law and author of “An FDA for Algorithms,” said, […]

report | Oct 28, 2019

About this canvassing of experts

The expert predictions reported here about the impact of the internet over the next 50 years came in response to questions asked by Pew Research Center and Elon University’s Imagining the Internet Center in an online canvassing conducted between July 4, 2018, and Aug. 6, 2018. This is the 10th Future of the Internet study […]

report | Feb 18, 2021

2. Worries about life in 2025

Whether they expressed optimistic or pessimistic views about the “new normal” in 2025, these respondents also weighed in with their worries for the near future of humans and digital technologies. Their views embraced several overarching themes that can be summed up in one: The advantaged enjoy more advantages; the disadvantaged fall further behind. Much of […]

report | Feb 21, 2020

2. Broader thoughts from key experts on the future of democracy at a time of digital disruption

The following expert contributions offer deep, broad insights that represent the diversity of thought expressed by leading expert commentators in this canvassing. If we develop guardrails, the core elements of democracy will be strengthened Amy Webb, founder of the Future Today Institute, wrote, “There are too many variables in play to predict just one plausible […]

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