Numbers, Facts and Trends Shaping Your World

Politics

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    Clinton Unites Dems, Gains Working Class Independents

    Introduction and Summary After two presidential debates and six weeks of the general campaign Bill Clinton’s lead over Bob Dole is as large as it was in early September. The course of the race has changed little with the passing of each important campaign milestone. The only observable consequence of the debates is that the […]

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    Dole Can’t Cash In on Mixed View of Clinton

    Introduction and Summary Bill Clinton continues to hold a commanding lead over Bob Dole and Ross Perot, but it is not because voters are delighted with his record, or because the electorate is euphoric about economic conditions, or because people expect better things to come. American voters are modest in their enthusiasm for Bill Clinton, […]

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    Generic Congressional Measures Less Accurate In Presidential Years

    The polling lesson of 1994 was learned first by the Gallup Poll in the 1950’s… that a generic measure of partisan support for House races in a nationwide poll can do a good job of estimating the popular vote for the Congressional election. Consequently, it is an excellent basis for predicting the number of seats […]

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    Solid Clinton Lead, Small Gain for Congressional Democrats

    Introduction and Summary As the fall campaign begins, Bill Clinton holds a solid lead over challengers Bob Dole and Ross Perot. But the race for control of Congress remains close. While the Democrats have gained some ground on the GOP over the course of the summer, American voters have a more positive view of incumbents […]

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    Democrats

    Introduction This report consists of Tables only. Tables Party Identification by Subgroups* (Percentaged Horizontally) Total Total Number of Republican Democrat Independent Republican Democrat Interviews % % % % % Total 30 31 39=100 46 46 (9652) Sex Male 31 26 43=100 50 41 (4780) Female 28 37 35=100 41 50 (4872) Race White 33 28 […]

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    Republicans

    Analysis Breakdowns An analysis of recent Pew Research Center surveys Republicans… Who They Are Despite its resurgence over the past 20 years, the Republican Party has never been numerically superior to the Democratic Party. For most of the 1990’s, the two have been essentially equal in this respect. In our most recent surveys, the Center […]

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    A Dull Campaign, Clinton Will Win Say More than 70% of Voters

    Introduction and Summary An overwhelming majority of Americans (73%) think the presidential campaign is dull so far. Almost as many (71%) believe that President Clinton will defeat expected Republican challenger Bob Dole next November. The former Senate majority leader is widely criticized for the job he is doing as he attempts to convince people to […]

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    The Diminishing Divide…American Churches, American Politics

    Introduction and Summary Religion is a strong and growing force in the way Americans think about politics. It has a bearing on political affiliation, political values, policy attitudes and candidate choice. Its increasing influence on political opinion and behavior rivals factors such as race, region, age, social class and gender. More specifically, religion has a […]

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    TV News Viewership Declines

    Introduction and Summary Television news is in trouble with the American public. Fewer adults are regularly watching it these days. Viewership of nightly network news is particularly hard hit. Fewer than half the public (42%) now says it regularly watches one of the three nightly network broadcasts — down from 48% in 1995 and 60% […]