reportMar 2, 2021 What 2020’s Election Poll Errors Tell Us About the Accuracy of Issue Polling Given the errors in 2016 and 2020 election polling, how much should we trust polls that attempt to measure opinions on issues?
short readFeb 3, 2021 Single-party control in Washington is common at the beginning of a new presidency, but tends not to last long Unified government at the beginning of a president’s first term has been the norm, especially for Democratic presidents.
short readJan 28, 2021 Racial, ethnic diversity increases yet again with the 117th Congress 124 lawmakers today identify as Black, Hispanic, Asian/Pacific Islander or Native American, a 97% increase over the 107th Congress of 2001-02.
short readJan 20, 2021 How we know the drop in Trump’s approval rating in January reflected a real shift in public opinion The 9-point fall in approval was the largest change between two Pew Research Center polls since Donald Trump took office.
short readDec 1, 2020 Slim majorities have become more common in the U.S. Senate and House Regardless of how the runoff elections in Georgia go, the Senate will be closely divided next year. And that is part of a long-running trend.
short readNov 13, 2020 Understanding how 2020 election polls performed and what it might mean for other kinds of survey work Many who follow polls are asking how these errors could happen. Here, we’ll take a preliminary shot at answering that question.
short readOct 30, 2020 A voter data resource: Detailed demographic tables about verified voters in 2016, 2018 Data tables from interviews we conducted with verified voters after the 2016 and 2018 elections may help answer some election 2020 questions.
short readOct 29, 2020 What we can trust 2020 election polls to tell us Polls can’t predict the future. But they are the best tool to reveal the public’s priorities and values, and why people vote the way they do.
short readOct 26, 2020 What the 2020 electorate looks like by party, race and ethnicity, age, education and religion What does the 2020 electorate look like politically, demographically and religiously as the race enters its final days?
short readOct 5, 2020 Key facts about women’s suffrage around the world, a century after U.S. ratified 19th Amendment At least 20 nations preceded the U.S. in granting women the right to vote, according to an analysis of measures in 198 countries and territories.