Americans’ midterm predictions largely match their partisan affiliation
% of U.S. adults who say the __ will hold a majority in the Senate …

% of U.S. adults who say the __ will hold a majority in the House of Representatives …

Note: No answer responses are not shown.
Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted Sept. 28-Oct. 4, 2026.
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Americans’ midterm predictions largely match their partisan affiliation
| Group | Chamber | Democratic Party | Republican Party |
|---|---|---|---|
| All U.S. adults | Senate | 46 | 48 |
| Rep/Lean Rep | Senate | 22 | 75 |
| Dem/Lean Dem | Senate | 71 | 27 |
| All U.S. adults | House | 55 | 40 |
| Rep/Lean Rep | House | 30 | 68 |
| Dem/Lean Dem | House | 80 | 17 |
Note: No answer responses are not shown.
Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted Sept. 28-Oct. 4, 2026.
PEW RESEARCH CENTER