AI polls greatly overstate Hispanic adults’ interest in the World Cup
% who are __ to follow the World Cup
Note: Figures for U.S. adults may differ slightly from those previously published by the Center because they are based on a subset of respondents to the original survey.
Source: Survey of U.S. adults and “digital twins” synthetic analysis using Claude Opus 4.6 set to low reasoning with extended profile information and expert reflection. Survey was conducted March 23-29, 2026 (replicated March 30-April 2).
“Can AI Stand In for Human Survey-Takers? Not Really”
“Can AI Stand In for Human Survey-Takers? Not Really”
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
AI polls greatly overstate Hispanic adults’ interest in the World Cup
% who are __ to follow the World Cup
| Group | Mode | Net likely | Extremely likely | Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not too likely | Not at all likely | Net unlikely | Not sure |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hispanic | Synthetic respondents | 97 | 4 | 52 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Hispanic | US adults | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 20 | 28 | 48 | 8 |
| Non-Hispanic | Synthetic respondents | 22 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 61 | 17 | 78 | 0 |
| Non-Hispanic | US adults | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 51 | 71 | 4 |
Note: Figures for U.S. adults may differ slightly from those previously published by the Center because they are based on a subset of respondents to the original survey.
Source: Survey of U.S. adults and “digital twins” synthetic analysis using Claude Opus 4.6 set to low reasoning with extended profile information and expert reflection. Survey was conducted March 23-29, 2026 (replicated March 30-April 2).
“Can AI Stand In for Human Survey-Takers? Not Really”
“Can AI Stand In for Human Survey-Takers? Not Really”
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
