Data analysis from 2020 shows it is hard to exactly identify who will turn out to vote | Pew Research Center

October 10, 2024

1. The Harris-Trump matchup

Data analysis from 2020 shows it is hard to exactly identify who will turn out to vote

Data analysis from 2020 shows it is hard to exactly identify who will turn out to vote

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Data analysis from 2020 shows it is hard to exactly identify who will turn out to vote

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1. The Harris-Trump matchup
As election nears, roughly 8 in 10 voters are locked in on their 2024 choice – but some are less certain
Voters who are ‘certain’ about their choice of candidate far more motivated to vote in 2024 election
Data analysis from 2020 shows it is hard to exactly identify who will turn out to vote
Trump is favored among older voters and men; Harris performs better among younger voters, women
Trump is favored among older voters and men; Harris performs better among younger voters, women
Harris draws more positive support than Biden did in 2020, but far less positive support than Trump
Harris and Trump supporters continue to be about equally engaged in election
Voters are somewhat less motivated to vote than in 2020
Black, Hispanic and Asian voters are less likely White voters to say they are ‘extremely motivated’ to vote