Does McCain Need Evangelical Voters?
Sizeable numbers of white evangelical Protestants are already part of McCain’s coalition despite opposition from some religious conservatives. On the Democratic side, Clinton will need to mobilize black Protestants while Obama has not connected with Jewish voters.
Super Tuesday Results Suggest Race Card May Be A Joker in the Primary Deck
Race still plays a role in U.S. politics but it showed up in surprising ways in tallies from Democratic primary elections so far this year.
McCain’s Support Soars, Democratic Race Tightens
Both Barack Obama and John McCain have gained considerable popularity in recent weeks with Obama’s gains concentrated among white, middle-income and moderate Democrats.
A Look at the Numbers
So far, the 2008 primaries and caucuses have been anything but predictable — comebacks, fallbacks, not to mention surprised pollsters. But a closer look reveals some common themes that have emerged.
A Portrait of the Latino Vote in Eight “Super Tuesday” States
Hispanic voters could be crucial to the outcome of several of this week’s primaries and caucuses. Here are fact sheets describing the socioeconomic characteristics of eligible Latino voters in each of the eight states with sizeable Hispanic populations.
Independent Voters Vexed at Polls?
Some 4.5 million independent voters in six states (Arizona, Connecticut, Delaware, New York, Oklahoma and Utah) will be completely locked out of their states’ presidential primaries on Feb. 5.
The Impact of “Cell-Onlys” on Public Opinion Polls
A new Pew study finds that on key political measures such as presidential approval, Iraq policy, presidential primary voter preference and party affiliation, respondents reached on cell phones hold attitudes very similar to those reached on landline telephones.
The South Carolina Democratic Primary in Black and White
This time, the pre-election polls understated Barack Obama’s support among both white and black voters.
Nearly lost in the blizzard of recent poll reports were the findings of a Gallup survey that the current GOP frontrunner, John McCain, might well give each of the two Democratic frontrunners a run for their money.
Will Evangelical Voters Rally Around a Single Candidate in 2008?
As voting patterns and preferences among evangelicals have become more fluid, their electoral impact may extend beyond the primaries and affect both parties in November. Two experts from the Pew Forum on Religion & Public Life discuss this critical voting bloc.