Numbers, Facts and Trends Shaping Your World
The analysis presented here suggests that modeling the electorate is likely to continue to vex pollsters, especially if no official record of past voting is available as an input to the models. As if to affirm this somewhat pessimistic conclusion, polls have failed to accurately predict winning candidates in several recent elections, including the 2015 […]
In addition to point estimates (e.g., % approving of President Barack Obama’s job performance), public opinion polls are often used to determine what factors explain a given attitude or behavior. For example, is education level or gender more predictive of Obama approval? This type of analysis involves testing the effects of multiple variables simultaneously. One […]
This report is based on results from two surveys – a national telephone survey of more than 35,000 adults that was the centerpiece of the Pew Research Center’s 2014 U.S. Religious Landscape Study, and a supplemental survey conducted at roughly the same time (summer 2014) among participants in Pew Research Center’s American Trends Panel (ATP). […]
Highly religious people are distinctive in their day-to-day behaviors in several key ways: They are more engaged with their families, more involved in their communities and more likely to report being happy with the way things are going in their lives. In other ways, however, there is little discernible difference in the way highly religious […]