Numbers, Facts and Trends Shaping Your World

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    5. Tech will have mixed effects that are not possible to guess now

    When asked about how people’s uses of technology will affect core aspects of democracy in the next decade about 18% of the experts responding to this canvassing said they will not affect much change in core aspects of democracy and democratic representation. Fred Baker, board member of the Internet Systems Consortium and longtime leader in […]

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    1. Worries about developments in AI

    It would be quite difficult – some might say impossible – to design broadly adopted ethical AI systems. A share of the experts responding noted that ethics are hard to define, implement and enforce. They said context matters when it comes to ethical considerations. Any attempt to fashion ethical rules generates countless varying scenarios in […]

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    1. Emerging change

    A large share of expert respondents in this canvassing expect some already evident trends to extend and expand through 2025. They said the greatest needs include more refined and responsive global governance of the complex systems on which people depend, as telemedicine, telework, tele-learning and tele-life spread. These dependences will increase demands for expansion of […]

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    3. Power dynamics play a key role in problems and innovation

    Many of the experts in this canvassing said power dynamics play a key role in technology development and social and civic innovation and have substantial impact in regard to broad societal issues. These experts highlighted the discrepancies they see in regard to who has access to power and who controls the instruments of power. Some […]

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    4. The internet will continue to make life better

    A large share of respondents predict enormous potential for improved quality of life over the next 50 years for most individuals thanks to internet connectivity, although many said the benefits of a wired world are not likely to be evenly distributed. Andrew Tutt, an expert in law and author of “An FDA for Algorithms,” said, […]

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    2. Broader thoughts from key experts on the future of democracy at a time of digital disruption

    The following expert contributions offer deep, broad insights that represent the diversity of thought expressed by leading expert commentators in this canvassing. If we develop guardrails, the core elements of democracy will be strengthened Amy Webb, founder of the Future Today Institute, wrote, “There are too many variables in play to predict just one plausible […]

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    About this canvassing of experts

    The expert predictions reported here about the impact of the internet over the next 50 years came in response to questions asked by Pew Research Center and Elon University’s Imagining the Internet Center in an online canvassing conducted between July 4, 2018, and Aug. 6, 2018. This is the 10th Future of the Internet study […]

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    3. Hopes about life in 2025

    While they anticipate an array of problems in the years ahead, these experts offered hope on a notable number of fronts over the next five years. It wasn’t just the optimists who said they see the near future as promising in many regards; most of the respondents who predicted digital life is likely to be […]

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    Methodology

    News outlet selection The study was based on American news outlets whose websites: After applying these rules, researchers included the following outlets: ABC News, BuzzFeed News, CBS News, CNN, Fox News, HuffPost, NBC News, The New York Times, Newsweek, NPR, Time, U.S. News & World Report, USA Today, The Washington Post, Yahoo News, Vice and […]