Can AI Stand In for Human Survey-Takers? Not Really
Synthetic surveys using digital twins do a poor job estimating the public mood and are especially error-prone for some subgroups, including Republicans and Black adults.
Numbers, Facts and Trends Shaping Your World
Synthetic surveys using digital twins do a poor job estimating the public mood and are especially error-prone for some subgroups, including Republicans and Black adults.
Prediction market trading on Kalshi and Polymarket doubled from May to July, mostly due to a large uptick in sports trading.
Americans’ views of data centers have turned more negative since January. But many are unsure or unfamiliar with them.
In a random sample of 10,000 webpages collected in July 2026, one-in-ten show signs of being written or substantially edited by AI.
Hispanic, Black and Asian adults are more likely than White adults to get health information from social media and turn to health and wellness influencers.
The typical Polymarket user placed a total of 46 trades across 10 active trading days during our study period.
Young women are especially likely to say they often see influencer content about beauty and appearance.
Federal agencies are getting far more audience engagement on X in the second Trump administration than they did during the final year of the Biden administration.
Prediction market trading volume has risen from under $5 billion monthly in mid 2025 to nearly $24 billion in April 2026, with sports dominating.
Nearly nine-in-ten U.S. adults say marijuana should be legal either for medical or recreational use. Just 11% say the drug should not be legal at all.