Most Democratic voters say this year’s caucuses and primaries will do a good job of selecting the best nominee for the November presidential election. And only about a quarter (26%) say it is a bad thing that Iowa and New Hampshire will hold their nominating contests before other states, according to a new Pew Research Center survey.
Meanwhile, the survey finds that 28% of Democratic and Democratic-leaning registered voters say it is a bad thing that some very wealthy Democratic candidates are personally financing their presidential campaigns. But these views vary widely among supporters of different Democratic candidates, with supporters of Michael Bloomberg more positive than other Democrats about very wealthy candidates funding their own campaigns.
Overall, 63% of Democratic voters say it is neither a good thing nor a bad thing that the Feb. 3 Iowa caucuses and the Feb. 11 New Hampshire primary happen before primary elections or caucuses in other states. Among the remainder, more see this as a bad thing (26%) than a good thing (9%).
About half of Democratic voters (47%) say it is neither good nor bad that some very wealthy candidates are personally funding their campaigns; 28% say this is a bad thing while nearly as many (24%) view this positively. Read More →
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (sometimes known as MBS) is the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia and next in line for the kingdom’s throne. During his time in power, the prince came under worldwide scrutiny after the 2018 killing of journalist and Saudi critic Jamal Khashoggi in the kingdom’s consulate in Turkey. More recently, the United Nations has opened an inquiry into whether the crown prince hacked the cellphone of Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos in May 2018. Bezos also owns The Washington Post, for which Khashoggi wrote.
Here are perceptions of Crown Prince Mohammed in the U.S. and among those in countries in the Middle East-North Africa region:
Most across the Middle East and in the U.S. lack confidence in Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed to do the right thing regarding world affairs. Among those in the five countries where the question was asked, Israelis have the least faith in the prince, with roughly eight-in-ten saying they doubt his ability to effectively manage international dealings. Only about a fifth of American and Lebanese respondents express confidence that the crown prince can effectively handle international concerns.
In the U.S., Republicans and Republican-leaning independents are slightly more likely to trust Crown Prince Mohammed than are Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents, although both groups overwhelmingly lack confidence in him. Around a quarter of Republicans (27%) say they have confidence in the Saudi crown prince to do the right thing regarding world affairs, compared with 18% of Democrats who say this.
It’s early in the 2020 election year, but at least three dozen members of the House of Representatives already have opted out of running for new terms. That’s not far off the average number of retirements, resignations and other voluntary departures for a full election cycle, according to a Pew Research Center analysis.
As of Jan. 28, 28 representatives (22 Republicans and six Democrats) have announced that they’re retiring and won’t seek reelection this year; four other Republicans and three Democrats are running for other offices instead. In addition, the seat of Duncan D. Hunter, R-Calif., who resigned earlier this month, won’t be filled by special election before November’s general election. That makes for 36 open seats that we know about so far. That figure could well rise: Doug Collins, R-Ga., reportedly will announce a Senate run soon, and as of Jan. 28, filing deadlines have passed in only 11 states (the deadlines for two states are as late as mid-July). By our count, nearly 80 representatives have yet to indicate their reelection plans.
Over the 14 election cycles between 1992 and 2018, an average of 41.2 House members each cycle chose not to run for reelection. During those cycles, the numbers ranged from a low of 30 (in both 2000 and 2006) to a high of 65 in 1992. The 1992 election cycle holds the record for voluntary House departures going back to 1930, based on our analysis and a tally compiled by Vital Statistics on Congress.
According to our analysis, the 2018 election cycle saw the second-highest number of voluntary departures from the House (that is, members retiring, resigning or pursuing some other office) since the early 1990s, with 58 representatives (39 Republicans and 19 Democrats) not running for reelection. Of those 58, 31 retired outright, 21 left to run for some other office, and six resigned without being replaced in a special election. (This time around, four other House seats besides Hunter’s are currently vacant due to resignation or death, but they are scheduled to be filled by special elections. Since the winners of those four special elections presumably will seek full terms this November as incumbents, we didn’t include them in our count.) Read More →
Sermons are a major part of many churchgoers’ religious experiences. But there are differences by religious tradition in how satisfied churchgoers are with what they hear from the pulpit – as well as in the length and content of those sermons, according to two recent Pew Research Center studies.
An opinion survey of 6,364 U.S. adults conducted in 2019 found that 90% of Christians who attend worship services at least a few times a year are satisfied with the sermons they hear, though Protestants are somewhat more satisfied than Catholics.
Six-in-ten evangelical Protestants (61%) say they are “very satisfied” with the sermons they hear, almost twice as many as those who say they’re “somewhat satisfied” (32%). Among Catholics, only about a third (32%) say they’re “very satisfied,” while roughly half (52%) say they are “somewhat satisfied.” Catholics also have a higher share of respondents who say they’re “not too” or “not at all” satisfied (15% vs. 7% for Protestants).
Americans prefer to keep certain information about themselves outside the purview of online searches, according to a Pew Research Center survey conducted in June 2019. Given the option, 74% of U.S. adults say it is more important to be able to “keep things about themselves from being searchable online,” while 23% say it is more important to be able to “discover potentially useful information about others.”
The ability to keep personal information from being searchable online is at the crux of the debate around the “right to be forgotten” – a term that first gained attention in 2014 when the European Court of Justice ruled against the search engine giant Google in a high-profile privacy case. The court declared that under certain circumstances, European Union residents could have personal information removed or deleted from search results and public records databases. To date, Google reports that it has received more than 880,000 individual delisting requests from EU residents.
More recently, a September 2019 ruling by the EU court found that Google does not have to apply the “right to be forgotten” outside Europe. Indeed, the United States has no law or regulatory requirement about removal of personal information from search results or databases. Several states have considered “right to be forgotten” laws, but none have adopted provisions like the EU court’s ruling.
The Center’s survey finds that large majorities across demographic groups say it is more important to be able to keep things about themselves from being searchable online than to be able to discover potentially useful information about others.
The 2020 U.S. census, which launches in Alaska this month, will be the 24th since the nation’s birth and the U.S. government’s largest peacetime undertaking. It’s also the only federal activity that invites every U.S. resident – citizen and noncitizen alike – to participate.
The census is a complicated, crucial task unlike any other, with many challenges that include growing public reluctance to answer surveys. This time around, the Census Bureau will ask most people to respond online, a big change from the past. The resulting numbers will guide political decisions, federal funding and research for the next decade. Read More →
More Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents trust than distrust most of the 30 outlets in the study, but the reverse is true among Republicans and GOP leaners. And while Democrats’ trust in many of these outlets has remained stable or in some cases increased since 2014, Republicans have become more alienated from some of them, widening an already substantial partisan gap.
Amy Mitchell has directed the Center’s journalism research since 2012 and oversaw the new study, which is based on an online survey of more than 12,000 U.S. adults. The study serves as the framework for our new Election News Pathways project. In this Q&A, she answers key questions about how the analysis was done and what it says about Americans’ news habits as the first votes of the 2020 presidential election cycle loom. Read More →
Here are findings drawn from our spring 2019 global survey about perceptions of Iran as a threat, how other Middle Eastern and North African countries view the country’s role in the region and how people around the world view U.S. policy toward Iran. Read More →
Access to clinics has become part of the long-running battle over abortion in the United States. A recent New York Times analysis shows that access to abortion clinics in many parts of the country has been decreasing in recent years.
Proximity to abortion clinics is associated with individual perceptions of how easy or difficult it is to obtain an abortion. However, partisanship is a more important factor than distance to the nearest abortion provider in shaping peoples’ views of whether an abortion should be harder or easier to obtain locally, according to a new Pew Research Center analysis of an American Trends Panel survey conducted July 22-Aug. 4, 2019.
In that survey, 33% say it should be harder for someone to obtain an abortion near them than it is currently, 26% say it should be easier and 39% say access to abortion should be about what it is currently.
Among all adults, those who live more than 5 miles from the nearest abortion clinic are more likely than those who live closer to say abortions should be harder to obtain.
Yet this difference is largely attributable to the differences in the partisan composition of these areas. Republicans and Republican-leaning independents – regardless of where they live – are far less likely than Democrats and Democratic leaners to say it should be easier to obtain an abortion in their area, and Republicans are also more likely than Democrats to live in communities that are further away from an abortion clinic. Read More →
A growing number of states have legalized or decriminalized the possession of small amounts of marijuana. But the drug remains illegal in other states and under federal law – and police officers in the United States still make more arrests for marijuana offenses than for any other drug, according to FBI data.
Police officers made about 663,000 arrests for marijuana-related offenses in the 50 states and the District of Columbia in 2018, amounting to 40% of the 1.65 million total drug arrests in the U.S. that year (the most recent for which data is available). The second-largest category of drug arrests involved “other” drugs (29%), followed by heroin, cocaine or their derivatives (25%) and synthetic or manufactured drugs (6%). These figures include arrests for possessing, selling or manufacturing each kind of drug. They are based on information submitted to the FBI from thousands of state and local law enforcement agencies, which make the vast majority of arrests in the U.S. each year.
It’s difficult to assess changes in the number of marijuana arrests over time because the list of state and local police agencies that submit arrest data to the FBI is not identical from year to year. But as a share of all reported drug arrests in the U.S., marijuana arrests have decreased in the last decade and are now at their lowest level in at least 20 years, down from 52% of all drug arrests in 2010. Read More →
About Pew Research Center Pew Research Center is a nonpartisan fact tank that informs the public about the issues, attitudes and trends shaping the world. It conducts public opinion polling, demographic research, media content analysis and other empirical social science research. Pew Research Center does not take policy positions. It is a subsidiary of The Pew Charitable Trusts.
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