A daily roundup of fresh data from scholars, governments, think tanks, pollsters and other social science researchers.
Politics As GOP chances decline, Senate control now a tossup, methodology, The Upshot/NYT Not many swing voters in midterm elections, The Upshot/NYT Independents more likely to back anti-Obamacare candidates, Fox News History shows first-term senators likely most at risk for reelection, U. of Minnesota In NY, wide Cuomo lead over Astorino would be cut by liberal 3rd party, topline, Siena
Economy Social Security data analysis shows lifetime earnings growth skewed toward top, UMich Long- and short-term unemployment both push down inflation, Federal Reserve Federal plans that forgive student debt skyrocket, The Wall Street Journal U.S. exports of petroleum products increased 10% in 2013, EIA Total state tax revenue hits new peak after Great Recession, The Pew Charitable Trusts Federal funds provide nearly $1 in $3 of state revenue, The Pew Charitable Trusts
Health & Society Which cities sleep in, and which get to work early, FiveThirtyEight Young adults cite college costs as their top money problem, Gallup Report shows largest year-to-year college attainment uptick since ’08, Lumina Foundation Almost two-thirds of 2013 high-school grads enrolled in college, BLS In 2012, 47% of American youths were minorities, Carsey Institute/UNH How do inpatients in rural hospitals differ from those in urban hospitals?, CDC Is your internet connection slower than advertised? The Wall Street Journal Census Bureau reviewing ACS questions after public pushback, Fact Tank
International Indians see rape as a major national problem, Pew Research Center The American middle class is no longer the world’s richest, New York Times Chart: China is becoming wealthy and urban, but with people left behind, The Economist
Random Sample Chart: How Meb Keflezighi won the Boston Marathon, Washington Post
Got new data to share? Send it to us via email facttank@pewresearch.org or Tweet us @FactTank.