U.S. PoliticsJanuary 28, 2008

The South Carolina Democratic Primary in Black and White

This time, the pre-election polls understated Barack Obama’s support among both white and black voters.

U.S. PoliticsJanuary 25, 2008

Raising McCain

Nearly lost in the blizzard of recent poll reports were the findings of a Gallup survey that the current GOP frontrunner, John McCain, might well give each of the two Democratic frontrunners a run for their money.

U.S. PoliticsJanuary 24, 2008

Election-Year Economic Ratings Lowest Since ’92

Republicans and Democrats agree the economy should be a top priority for the president and Congress, but they differ more than ever on the importance of other domestic issues — such as global warming and health insurance for the uninsured.

ReligionJanuary 24, 2008

Will Evangelical Voters Rally Around a Single Candidate in 2008?

As voting patterns and preferences among evangelicals have become more fluid, their electoral impact may extend beyond the primaries and affect both parties in November. Two experts from the Pew Forum on Religion & Public Life discuss this critical voting bloc.

U.S. PoliticsJanuary 18, 2008

Mind the Gender Gap

Does Hilary Clinton have a problem with male voters or does Barack Obama simply appeal more to men?

U.S. PoliticsJanuary 16, 2008

In GOP Primaries: Three Victors, Three Constituencies

The Republican nomination contest is being increasingly shaped by ideology and religion, while the dynamics of the Democratic race are more heavily influenced by class, race and gender.

U.S. PoliticsJanuary 11, 2008

The GOP’s Unanswered Question

Thursday night’s Republican debate in South Carolina in the wake of John McCain’s comeback victory in New Hampshire and Mike Huckabee’s surprising win in Iowa raised more questions than it answered.

Media & NewsJanuary 10, 2008

New Hampshire Teaches News Media a Lesson

It wasn’t quite “Dewey Defeats Truman,” but after the Jan. 8 Granite State primary confounded many pollsters and pundits, a key story in coverage of the McCain and Clinton victories was the media’s proclivity to predict and pre-analyze the results.

U.S. PoliticsJanuary 10, 2008

Getting It Wrong

Several factors deserve exploration, but one should not ignore the possibility of the longstanding pattern of pre-election polls overstating support for black candidates among white voters, particularly white voters who are poor.

U.S. PoliticsDecember 14, 2007

Primary Problems: How Exit Pollsters Plan to Cope with a Super-Crowded Election Season

From holiday distractions to winter weather, the people who will be measuring voters’ preferences in primaries and caucuses around the nation will be dealing with unprecedented problems. Here’s how they plan to do it.