February 16, 2016

Millennials less confident about nation’s future, but so were their parents, grandparents when young

Carter's 'crisis of confidence' speech
College student Chuck McManis watches President Jimmy Carter’s nationally televised energy address, which became known as the “malaise” speech. When Carter felt beset by pessimism amid the energy crisis in 1979, he gave a startling speech warning that a “crisis of confidence” posed a fundamental threat to U.S. democracy. Photo by AP Photo/Mao

Millennials differ from older generations in many ways, from their racial and ethnic diversity to their distinctive views on a number of political and social issues. But they are similar in one surprising respect: As America’s youngest adult generation they are the least confident about the nation’s future, just like Generation Xers and Baby Boomers when they were young.

Generation gap in confidence in nation’s future is not newIn a survey of attitudes about government conducted last fall, just 37% of Millennials said they had “quite a lot of confidence” in the future of the United States, compared with 45% of Gen Xers, 49% of Boomers and 56% of the Silent Generation.

Two decades ago, Gen Xers, then in their teens and 20s, stood out for their lack of confidence in the nation’s future. In 1994, just 30% of Gen Xers said they had quite a lot of confidence in the future of the U.S. Among older generations at the time – Boomers and Silents – half or more had a lot of confidence in the nation’s future.

And two decades before that, Boomers were less bullish than their elders in assessing the nation’s future. In 1975, when Boomers were the youngest generation, 49% had a great deal of confidence in the future of the U.S., compared with 62% of Silents and 67% of the Greatest Generation.

This finding highlights one of the challenges of generational analysis, namely determining when differences among age cohorts are attributable to life stage rather than to a unique characteristic of a generation. For instance, Millennials are less engaged in politics than older generations, but that has been true for successive generations of young people. Similarly, Millennials’ relative lack of confidence in the nation’s future may be a life-cycle effect. (For more, see our 2015 report “The Whys and Hows of Generations Research.”)

Notably, on a different measure of expectations for the nation – one that compares the past to the future – Millennials are more optimistic than are older generations. In 2014, 49% of Millennials said the country’s best years were “ahead of us,” while 45% said they were “behind us.” Among older generations, somewhat more said the United States’ best years were behind than ahead. That question had not been asked previously, so it is not possible to determine if these views have changed over time.

Topics: Generations and Age

  1. is a research assistant focusing on U.S. politics and policy at Pew Research Center.