Tracking the Race Factor
This week’s primaries show that, results in Wisconsin aside, pre-primary polls may either over- or underestimate support for Obama depending on state racial demographics.
Numbers, Facts and Trends Shaping Your World
This week’s primaries show that, results in Wisconsin aside, pre-primary polls may either over- or underestimate support for Obama depending on state racial demographics.
Super Tuesday revealed distinct – and somewhat suprising — voting patterns across the nation that may shape the course ahead in the closely contested Democratic race.
So far, the 2008 primaries and caucuses have been anything but predictable — comebacks, fallbacks, not to mention surprised pollsters. But a closer look reveals some common themes that have emerged.
The popularity of the two top contenders among key segments of the Democratic electorate may help explain why Edwards’s populist platform has not drawn wider support so far.
The 2008 presidential campaign already seems to be wearing out its welcome with many Americans. A 52% majority of the public offers a negative assessment of the early-blooming campaign and just one-in-five has a kind thing to say.
Tuesday night’s Democratic debate was widely anticipated for its groundbreaking format. Candidates took on a host of issues asked by citizens via YouTube videos; what follows is an analysis of the format and major themes of the debate as compared with public opinion data.
The strong showing of Democrat Barack Obama in early trial heat polls for the 2008 presidential election raises anew the question of whether the American public is ready to support an African American candidate for president. Recent polling points to two significant shifts on this question.
In the aftermath of the 2006 election, the shifting allegiance of some important voter groups has gotten relatively little attention. One of the biggest stories is about young people. Another is what really happened to “The God Gap.” And a third is about the one-fifth of voters who aren’t white.
Public doubts about the accuracy of the vote count may have some significant consequences on election day. The problem is much on the minds of some political operatives who worry that it may discourage voting among some constituencies.
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