Six Telling Findings from the Iowa Caucuses
The Iowa caucuses produced six small but significant indicators of the dynamics that drove the race.
Numbers, Facts and Trends Shaping Your World
The Iowa caucuses produced six small but significant indicators of the dynamics that drove the race.
Two years ahead of the next presidential election, the public is divided (47% yes, 42% no ) over whether Barack Obama should run for a second term. However, this is better than the outlook for Ronald Reagan in August 1982
For Democratic candidates, the decisive factors in Iowa and New Hampshire are personal and tactical; for GOP contestants, however, the ultimate outcome may be decided by the relative strength of newly combative ideological elements.
A review of recent polling reveals that on most — though not all issues — the candidates are in tune with the majority of Republicans, but somewhat at odds with the broader public.
In the aftermath of the 2006 election, the shifting allegiance of some important voter groups has gotten relatively little attention. One of the biggest stories is about young people. Another is what really happened to “The God Gap.” And a third is about the one-fifth of voters who aren’t white.
Not only is there evidence of a reawakening of young people to public life, but today’s youth are politically distinctive in many ways.
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