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Primary Preview: Dynamics Differ for the Two Parties in Early Races

Personal and Tactical Factors Matter Most for Democratic Candidates, Ideological Divides for Republican Candidates
by Andrew Kohut, President, Pew Research Center

With the first votes of the 2008 presidential election soon to be cast in the early-decision states, the likely outcome of these contests is more in doubt than in any election cycle in recent history. For the Democratic candidates, the decisive factors are personal and tactical. For Republican contestants, however, the ultimate outcome may be decided more by the relative strength of long quiescent but newly combative ideological elements within the GOP, a struggle that is likely to take longer to play out.

Read full analysis at Pewresearch.org

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