Religion Aug. 21, 2007

Religion and the Presidential Vote: A Tale of Two Gaps

An analysis of national exit polls from 2004 shows there is not one but two religion gaps — one based on religious affiliation and the other based on frequency of attendance at worship services. How did the gaps manifest themselves in the 2004 election and what are the possible implications for 2008?

U.S. Politics Aug. 2, 2007

A Summer of Discontent with Washington

All three branches of the federal government are under fire from the American public. Just 29% approve of President Bush’s job performance while the proportion with a favorable view of Congress has declined 12 percentage points since January. Even favorable opinions of the U.S. Supreme Court have fallen, from 72% in January to 57% currently.

Pew Research Center Jul. 19, 2007

2008 May Come Down to Ohio — Again

In his first column for Stateline.org, journalist Louis Jacobson samples the presidential leanings of the 19 “purple” states that are neither Republican “red” nor Democratic “blue.” Despite consistent Democratic leads in national polling, election 2008 appears to be just as close as were the 2000 and 2004 elections for the White House.

U.S. Politics Apr. 26, 2007

Campaign ’08: Analysis of Key Voter Groups

Who’s most inspiring? Who’s most electable? Find out how liberals and conservatives, war supporters and opponents and other segments of the electorate rate the presidential candidates. Also, a solid majority of the public favors troop withdrawal, but both sides reject compromise over Iraq funding.

U.S. Politics Feb. 23, 2007

Voters Remain In Neutral As Presidential Campaign Moves Into High Gear

Latest Pew poll finds Republicans lagging Democrats in attention to the race and enthusiasm for candidates. Clinton is Democrats’ strongest choice but Obama leads among independents; Giuliani tops McCain in popularity among Republicans and independents.

Religion Dec. 5, 2006

Religion’s Role in the 2006 Election

Pew Forum Senior Fellow John Green and American Enterprise Institute Resident Fellow Karlyn Bowman analyze polling data to address such issues as whether Democrats closed the “God gap,” which religious groups were “in play” this election, and whether or not religion polarizes voters.

Hispanic Nov. 27, 2006

Parsing the ’06 Latino Vote

Widely cited findings from the national exit polls suggest Latinos tilted heavily Democratic in the 2006 election, taking back most of the support they had granted the Republicans just two years earlier. Does that mean the Latinos who flirted with the Republican Party are now firmly back in the Democratic camp?

U.S. Politics Nov. 16, 2006

Election ’06: Big Changes in Some Key Groups

In the aftermath of the 2006 election, the shifting allegiance of some important voter groups has gotten relatively little attention. One of the biggest stories is about young people. Another is what really happened to “The God Gap.” And a third is about the one-fifth of voters who aren’t white.

U.S. Politics Nov. 16, 2006

Public Cheers Democratic Victory

The Democrats’ big win on Nov. 7 has gotten a highly favorable response from the public. In fact, initial reactions to the Democratic victory are as positive as they were to the GOP’s electoral sweep of Congress a dozen years ago.

Pew Research Center Nov. 14, 2006

Democrats Made Gains in All Regions of the Country

With roughly 95% of the votes tallied so far in House races across the country, the overall partisan breakdown is 52% for Democratic candidates, 46% for Republican candidates and 2% for others. In actual votes, Democratic House candidates in 2006 have already tallied nearly 5 million more votes than they did in 2002, while the Republican tally is down more than 3 million from four years ago.